World Cup Gambling Thread

Discussion in 'World Cup 2014 Brazil' started by souljacker, Apr 1, 2014.

  1. souljacker

    souljacker A bit of skullduggery

    I'm not the biggest gambler in the world, but always like a flutter on the big football matches and tournaments. And we always get an entertaining thread for the gamblers when something like this is on.

    Latest winner odds from Betfair:
    Brazil 3/1
    Argentina 9/2
    Germany 6/1
    Spain 13/2
    Belgium 18/1
    France 18/1
    Colombia 28/1
    Italy 28/1
    Uruguay 28/1
    England 33/1
    Netherlands 33/1
    Portugal 33/1
    Chile 40/1
    Russia 100/1
    Switzerland 125/1
    Mexico 150/1
    Croatia 200/1
    Ecuador 200/1
    Ivory Coast 200/1
    Japan 200/1
    USA 200/1
    Bosnia 250/1
    Ghana 250/1
    Nigeria 300/1
    Greece 350/1
    South Korea 500/1
    Australia
    Cameroon 1000/1
    Iran 2500/1
    Algeria 2750/1
    Costa Rica 5000/1
    Honduras 7500/1

    I'm considering a tenner each way on the Uruguayans, England seem massively overpriced at 33's but then they always are. Not sure why there isn't a price for the Aussies.
     
  2. Lord Camomile

    Lord Camomile Lemonade socialist

    An ignorant writes: is there a particular reason Colombia are ahead of the likes of England (I know, but I'm just going on past bookies odds), Netherlands and Portugal? Is it basically "South American tournament + Falcao"?

    France ahead of those teams too! And Germany ahead of Spain is interesting too, though far less of a surprise.
     
    Last edited: Apr 1, 2014
  3. souljacker

    souljacker A bit of skullduggery

    At this early stage, its pretty much a market based on guesswork. Until the big leagues are finished, the bets are pretty speculative. There could be a whole heap of injuries in the final stages of La Liga that could affect Spains chances for instance. Germany are always in the top 3 due to their excellent world cup record.

    I don't know much about the Colombians though, if I'm honest.
     
  4. The Octagon

    The Octagon Stop...Hammertime

    I fancy Belgium to make it to the Semis, what's the odds on that?
     
  5. mack

    mack Fact Me Till I Fart

    I'd have money on Argentina tbh - Messi - coming back to his best after hammy injuries, Huigain - regurlarly scoring for Napoli and Aguero who still needs to get fit but should be ok.
     
  6. Zapp Brannigan

    Zapp Brannigan Built like a steakhouse, handles like a bistro

    3-1 with Bet365 (http://www.bet365.com/home/FlashGen4/WebConsoleApp.asp?&cb=10881731310)

    Not a bad bet, but a bit short priced. The 4 favourites (Brazil, Argentina, Germany, Spain) would all be heavily odds on in a game against Belgium, but it depends on the draw; if say one were to mess up and not top their group they could be knocking each other out before the semis and Belgium would be one of the favourites to get there instead.
     
    The Octagon likes this.
  7. Lord Camomile

    Lord Camomile Lemonade socialist

    Based on one game in last year's Confederations Cup, which they lost, I'm backing Japan to make the QFs.

    Once I've taken a look at their group and the following rounds :hmm:
     
  8. not-bono-ever

    not-bono-ever Not what they want but what is good for them

    I mentioned this elsewhere, but if you havent already opened accounts with the online bookies & check out their spcial offers, you can make some cracking bets for a guatanteed return if you place properly
     
  9. copliker

    copliker ...

    Freddy Guarin was always my first target in FM 2006. Nice to see him being a key player for Inter and Colombia. I had a divil of a time trying to get him to sign for Drogheda United.
     
    The39thStep likes this.
  10. It's hard to imagine semi-finals which are not Brazil v Germany and Spain v Argentina. If I put a bet on, it will be on those exact semi finals - after that - anything could happen
     
    not-bono-ever likes this.
  11. SpookyFrank

    SpookyFrank Ridin' a Stutz Bearcat, Jim

    From those odds I reckon Uruguay are the pick of the outsiders.
     
  12. Mr.Bishie

    Mr.Bishie BeRightOn

    I took a punt on Germany at 11/2 yesterday. Also had an accumulator on each group winner, & top goal scorers Reus & Messi.
     
  13. juice_terry

    juice_terry Here is a man who would not take it anymore.

    Going to put an acca taking in every group game will be interesting to see what odds I get . There are a few games that will be hard to call, but I think the majority of them will go to form.
     
  14. Lord Camomile

    Lord Camomile Lemonade socialist

    So, having not done online betting before (save for a flutter on the Grand National with William Hill in 2005 :hmm: ), what's the best way to take advantage of all those juicy "join us and get £1,304,234-worth of bets freeeeeee!" offers? How do I get the most for my gambling cherry?
     
    not-bono-ever likes this.
  15. not-bono-ever

    not-bono-ever Not what they want but what is good for them

    ^^ if you havent opened up any accounts before, then you are quids in - I have caned my free bet offers and they wont allow me to open another account to get more freebies

    http://www.oddschecker.com/free-bets

    plough through this lot and see how much you can wager to get freebies and arbitrage the games where possible and you are guaranteed a return, you can do this with spreads as well, but thats a bit riskier and for more experiened only - some wont let you pull down your winnings immediately though,so read the T&C carefully

    its good fun as long a you can turn off after the WC
     
  16. Lord Camomile

    Lord Camomile Lemonade socialist

    Um.. wut? :hmm: :confused:

    ;) :oops: :D

    May have to find Online Gambling for Dummies.
     
  17. not-bono-ever

    not-bono-ever Not what they want but what is good for them

    arbitrage is locking in a profit- so if you have an agile mind and free / matched bets to play with, you can potentially back both sides through different bookies and guarantee a return whatever happens
     
  18. Lord Camomile

    Lord Camomile Lemonade socialist

    And if you don't...? :D

    Cool, will have a looksie around. This time next year...!
     
  19. ska invita

    ska invita back on the other side

    Italy and Spain. Both great teams, can play in heat, good odds, especially Italy.
     
  20. juice_terry

    juice_terry Here is a man who would not take it anymore.

    placed £1 on this and potential returns are £1,000,000 :D
     
    Supine likes this.
  21. Zapp Brannigan

    Zapp Brannigan Built like a steakhouse, handles like a bistro

    BetFred are doing a 20 game fixed list with a top prize of a mil. 25 quid guaranteed for getting the first 5.

    (also, let's see your list so we armchair gambling pundits can ridicule your England to beat Costa Rica. I like your optimistic style!)
     
  22. juice_terry

    juice_terry Here is a man who would not take it anymore.

    I saw that "brazillionaire" might have a £1 on that though they have picked tough games to call .. Most of them likely to be draws
    Will upload picture of coupon later
     
  23. Best offer out there at the moment in my mind is place a bet up to £25 on England to win, and if Brazil or Argentina win, they'll refund your stake (as a free bet obvs).

    Thats with Coral. http://www.coral.co.uk/sports/offers/worldcupmoneyback and its for new and existing players.

    I work in the Sportsbook industry, so if you want I'll put other offers up when I find them.
     
  24. binka

    binka !!!!!!!!!

    So far all I've had is Benzema top goal scorer - £20 @ 25/1. I think it represents decent value considering 1) he is likely to be first choice once the tournament gets underway 2) France's group has to be the easiest with Switzerland, Honduras and Ecuador.
     
  25. paninaro

    paninaro Banned Banned

    That's a brave shout when u got players like Suarez, Ronaldo, muller etc etc
     
  26. binka

    binka !!!!!!!!!

    Very true but Uruguay, Portugal and Germany have much tougher groups
     
    paninaro likes this.
  27. juice_terry

    juice_terry Here is a man who would not take it anymore.

  28. binka

    binka !!!!!!!!!

    That's the worst bet I've ever seen! :D
     
    juice_terry likes this.
  29. Monkeygrinder's Organ

    Monkeygrinder's Organ Dodgy geezer swilling vapid lager

    A 46 match accumulator?:D
     
    juice_terry likes this.
  30. binka

    binka !!!!!!!!!

    limited to a million quid but if you assume average odds of 4/6 (1.75) then a 46 game accumulator should have odds of around 150milllion/1!
     

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