Will Labour form a coalition with the LibDems?

[JimPage]

I thought AV+ was the Scotish parliament etc system but with AV for constituencies instead of FPTP

not that AV's any good anyway, given that you only get two preferences

personally, I back STV, which I'm assuming the LibDems and Greens back, given that they're affiliated to the Electoral Reform Society. It would probably give the BNP 3 to 5 seats (possibly more on a very bad day) but we need to consider whether it's worth that cost, which I think it is, as long as they stay at around their present vote and the Tories and UKIP stick to any cordon sanitaire

Scottish parliament uses additional members system- a top up list where you need about 7% of the list vote to get elected in a region- with regions being roughly area of 800,000 people. Similar system in London as well for the GLA top up lists

http://www.scottish.parliament.uk/vli/education/resources/learningResources/propRep.htm

The disadvantage in England would be a lot more than 3 BNP MPs based on their June performance. Say in the NW, and assuming regional constituencys would be say 5-6 local authority areas, you would very likely get them elected in Cumbria, City of Manchester, Northern Greater Manchester, and East Lancashire. As they only polled less than 5% in 3 of the 39 local authority areas in the NW in June - I would guestimate maybe 4 MPs in the NW alone and 15 nationwide

 

[scawenb]

With polls showing the Tories with a big swing in the North it will have the effect of landing lots of Labour seat into the laps of the LibDems. They will have lots more anti-Labour MPs in the next parliament.

There is far more likely to be a coalition around civil liberties if there is a hung parliament with the Lib Dems allying with the Tories and sections of the Labour Party to un-pick some of the expensive police state aparatus the labour Party has been busy building up.

 

[scawenb]

The disadvantage in England would be a lot more than 3 BNP MPs based on their June performance.

But they wouldn't repeat their June figures as that was to elect someone to Europe on a very low turnout in very unusual circumstance where a scandal had hit all three of the main parties.

 

[joevsimp]

With polls showing the Tories with a big swing in the North it will have the effect of landing lots of Labour seat into the laps of the LibDems. They will have lots more anti-Labour MPs in the next parliament.

no they won't, The Lib Dems are losing votes to the tories just as fast as Labour. I doubt they'll take more than a dozen seats off Labour and any off the tories, and they'll lose a fair few to the tories as well