pbman said:I remmber before the war when you thought it would be staligrad all over again.
Careful of beliving your own bullshit.
Their is no super power backing the terroists in iraq.
Matter of fact their is no other super power, what ever happned to those commie losers anyway?
pbman said:And comared with past wars, this still isn't much.
pbman said:WE would have to fight ten more years at the current rates or so to equal the britsh death in the first day at the battle of the Somme.
Barking_Mad said:You can forgive PB his stupidity, but there is simply no excuse for his ignorance and lack of will to actually READ what's going on in Iraq. The information is there, yet his brain is too busy downloading from Pentagon message control - not wanting to see what's plainly in front of his stupid neo-con eyeballs.
I think many politicians in both the UK and US realise that Iraq is lost. For a long while they may have tried to kid themselves that it was going to be alright, but the time has come where they cannot deny the obvious any longer, or at least the majority can't. Iraq is lost in terms of what the US wanted to do politically and militarily.
Basra has turned to Sharia Law, with many shops selling alcohol closing down or being burnt down. Barbers across Iraq are attacked and killed for shaving men's beards and the new Iraqi constitution looks like it will only subscribe to human rights as long as they fit into the beliefs of Sharia Law. Iraq is cosying up nicely to the US's 'axis of evil' Iran (I doubt that was part of the plan), with many Iraqi troops being trained in Iran itself. The Kurds will continue to push for autonomy and control over northern oil fields made more likely the longer the insurgency goes on. In addition Turkey is getting increasingly concerned about Kurdish rebel groups and threatening to take matters into their own hands unless the US sorts it out themselves.
Baghdad's main mortuary alone is receiving 850 dead bodies per month with the mortician saying they cannot cope. Other reports which didnt make major headlines show that the Iraqi government says at least 8,000 Iraqis have died in the last 6 months alone and a Geneva-based Graduate Institute of International Studies suggests 40,000 Iraqis have died since the invasion. This report came out days before the Iraq Body Count one, but unsurprisingly went 'missing' in the 'liberal media'.
Doctors are being shot and killed, many others are leaving the country in their droves. The hospital system is woefully short of drugs and equipment and academics are being targeted in the same fashion with many being killed, presumably for teaching subjects not condusive to Sharia law. Iraq's roads are unsafe to travel on fuel might be rationed for the winter, the airports are dangerous to fly in and out of, Iraqis are getting less than 4 hours electricity a day, which in 120F+ heat makes life pretty unbearable to say the least. Reconstruction is virtually non-existent due tothe lack of security and some $766m of money has been spent on security alone.
And that's before you've even talked about the under reported civil war going on between Sunni and Shia groups, or the lack of any true Sunni representation in the Government with one Sunni politicians being fired recently whilst claiming it was for speaking out about the killing of Sunni's.
Lastly its been shown that 30% of US soldiers are returning from Iraq with mental health problems and the wars in Afghanistan have cost us tax payers some (wait for it) $700bn[/URL]
Back home it seems the US public believes it is lost too, with only 43% believing the US will win in Iraq. It's here where the war will be lost first. If anyone was in any doubt that the US was not prepared for what happened after the initial invasion then a recent report sets that straight.
Still, at least PB thinks its going ok.
edit - fixed links and added a couple more
Dandred said:After the Americans leave Iraq with their tails between their legs, like they did in Vietman, will pbman still be saying "things where fine when we left"?![]()
mears said:So the UN sanctions regime before the war was better?
"Combined with the reduced accessibility to nutritious food stuff by most Iraqis, the lack of good sanitary conditions have led to sudden rise in health problems, particularly among children and the elderly. “The increase in mortality reported in public hospitals for children under five years of age (an excess of some 40,000 deaths yearly compared with 1989) is mainly due to diarrhea, pneumonia and malnutrition. In those over five years of age, the increase (an excess of some 50,000 deaths yearly compared with 1989) is associated with heart disease, hypertension, diabetes, cancer, liver or kidney diseases. With the substantial increase in mortality, under-registration of deaths is a growing problem.”
http://lsinsight.org/articles/2001/UNSanctions.htm
You supported the staus quo in Iraq right? This was the results of the status quo. You people act like Iraq was a paradise before the invasion. How quickly we forget the deaths that UN sanctions caused.
I know, you were not for the UN sanctions either, you were againt the support Europe and America gave to Saddam prior to Gulf War I as well. Against it all!
mears said:"Combined with the reduced accessibility to nutritious food stuff by most Iraqis, the lack of good sanitary conditions have led to sudden rise in health problems, particularly among children and the elderly. “The increase in mortality reported in public hospitals for children under five years of age (an excess of some 40,000 deaths yearly compared with 1989) is mainly due to diarrhea, pneumonia and malnutrition
Barking_Mad said:If I've had this conversation with you once I must have had it 10 times, and each time I explain my position only for you to conveniently forget what I said until the next time the subject pops up where you go on to repeat the same accusations. So, once again........
I was against sanctions (which were illegally enforced by the US and UK) as they only served to make Iraqis more reliant on Saddam Hussein, not less so. I supported the removal of them because for as long as the Iraqis only concern was feeding themselves and trying to fix a collapsing infrastructure they were not in any position to do anything about their system of government. To say I supported the staus quo is therefore flat out wrong. There is also a vast difference between supporting the Iraqi people and supporting Saddam Hussein, it is possible to do one, without condoning the other.
Secondly your little post does it's usual trick of derailing the thread, as you so often do because you're too stupid to look at al the facts in the cold light of day and make a rational sensible decision. If you were you wouldn't have backed this war and like a sponge soaked up all the crap you were told by your beloved leader.
You stupidly thought that invading Iraq couldnt make the situation and worse than it already was - and beyond any shadow of a doubt, no matter how you try and twist it, it has. You chose to ignore the few points I picked out about Iraq and instead post up a quote about the situation before the invasion. Dont get me wrong, what you put is quite true, but your reasoning and deduction fails to consider that many of the problems you stated, exist now as they did before - in some cases they are worse. Child mortality has increased (again) since the invasion. Cancer rates have gone through the roof, medicines and services in hospitals are stretched beyond belief due to the number of dead and injured coming in each day. How do you expect they can put right the already shitty situation they find themselves in whilst each doctor has to amputate legs, treat burns and gunshot wounds as well as dealing withy all the day to day problems that any hospital has to face?
Iraq was no paradise, but you only have to listen to the Iraqi people to know that the situation has worsened since the invasion. Perhaps this is where you fall down because to familiarise yourself with the facts of the situation in Iraq means a complete re-evaluation of everything you thought to be true.............
mears said:End all sanctions? go back to the good old days when countries helped Saddam arm and unleash wars in Iran and Kuwait. Or is it more like the oil for food program, that was a success as well.
Is the situation really worse? I think its hard to quantify. Has it gone worse that the Bush administration predicted? I think the unfortunate answer is yes. The CIA and Pentagon didn't understand the nature of the battle that would be waged post invasion. If both parties predicted Islamist and (possible Sunni) suicide bombers would attack at markets and Mosques to provoke civil war with Shia Iraqis maybe Saddam would still be in power. But ultimately it was George W. Bush's call, and history will judge his presidency on that decision.
US deaths, though all are terrible in my opinion, are low compared to other US wars in the last 50 years like Korea and Vietnam. But this is a different war and I believe American troops will start to trickle out in 2006, otherwise Republicans might be trounced in future elections. Hopefully the Iraqis will build a semblance of security. I think it depends on getting the majority of Sunnis to cooperate in a new government and turn on foreign insurgents.
Barking_Mad said:Ahh listen to the pseudo Christians compassion toward the tens of thousands of dead Iraqis, the ones he claimed he felt sorry for, the ones who he wanted to go save from the evil Saddam. Their lives are reduced to nothing more than a nine word, badly spelt sentence.
So fucking what? Does Christianity value human life so little, or is this just your washed up post alcoholic version of it?
nino_savatte said:The US culture industry will produce some revisionist film to claim that "we never lost and what we did, we did for democracy".
pbman said:And as long as the people in iraq continue to agree that it was good to remove saddam, we will be right and you wrong.
They have to live their not you.
pbman said:And as long as the people in iraq continue to agree that it was good to remove saddam, we will be right and you wrong.
They have to live their not you.
February 2004: 56.3 percent of Iraqis somewhat or strongly oppose the presence of Coalition forces in Iraq. "Strongly oppose" versus "strongly support" is 2.5-to-1. (Oxford Research International)
March-April 2004: 58 percent say US forces have behaved very or fairly badly; 34 percent say US forces have behaved very or fairly well. The ratio between those saying "very bad" and those saying "very well": 3-to-1. (Gallup/CNN/USA Today)
March-April 2004: 30 percent say that attacks on US forces were somewhat or completely justified; another 22 percent said they were sometimes justified. (Gallup/CNN/USA Today)
May 2004: 87 percent express little or no confidence in US coalition forces; 92 percent view coalition forces as occupiers, rather than liberators or peace keepers. (Independent Institute for Administration and Civil Society/CPA)
June 2004: 67 percent of Iraqis strongly or somewhat oppose the presence of Coalition troops; 30 percent support. (Iraq Centre for Research & Strategic Studies)
June 2004: 58 percent of Iraqis somewhat or strongly oppose the presence of Coalition forces in Iraq. Strongly oppose versus strongly support is 3-to-1. (Oxford Research International)
June 2004: 70 percent say Coalition troops are an occupying or exploiting force; 30 percent say a liberating or peacekeeping force. (Oxford Research International)
June 2004: Invasion of Iraq was absolutely right say 13.2 percent; somewhat right, 27.6 percent; somewhat wrong, 25.7 percent; absolutely wrong, 33.5 percent. (Oxford Research International)
January 2005: 53 percent of Sunni Arabs say ongoing attacks are a legitimate form of resistance. (Zogby)
The problem though, is that no government installed or supported by the US is going to be seen as legitimate across the board. Abu Ghraib, Fallujah and endless check-point shootings saw to that.mears said:<snip> US deaths, though all are terrible in my opinion, are low compared to other US wars in the last 50 years like Korea and Vietnam. But this is a different war and I believe American troops will start to trickle out in 2006, otherwise Republicans might be trounced in future elections. Hopefully the Iraqis will build a semblance of security. I think it depends on getting the majority of Sunnis to cooperate in a new government and turn on foreign insurgents.
sourceAn examination of Iraqi public opinion data and interviews suggests that coalition military activity may be substantially contributing to Iraqi discontent and opposition. A "vicious circle" is indicated, whereby actions to curtail the insurgency feed the insurgency.
Public discontent is the water in which the insurgents swim. Polls show that a large majority of Iraqis have little faith in coalition troops and view them as occupiers, not liberators. There is significant support for attacks on foreign troops and a large majority of Iraqis want them to leave within a year. But attitudes about the occupation vary significantly among communities.
pbman said:The storms allways darkest right before its over.
Soon the new gov't is going to have a lot of trained up troops.
Isn't that the good old american way?Andy the Don said:Bush's plan appears to be get out before the mid-terms, leaving the Iraqis to die for US interests.
patjoseph said:Isn't that the good old american way?
In other words, they made a total cock of it by believing their own propaganda instead of the evidence and not planning for anything other than their wishes coming true. That's just incompetence and much of their feeble efforts since then have been driven by US domestic considerations, such as looking and sounding tough. That's just more incompetence.The United States made major strategic mistakes in preparing to deal with this situation. It did demonstrate that it could fight the war it planned to fight: a conventional regional war with remarkable efficiency, at low cost, and very quickly. The problem was that the US chose a strategy whose post-conflict goals were unrealistic and impossible to achieve, and only planned for the war it wanted to fight and not for the “peace” that was certain to follow.
Its most obvious mistake was its basic rationale for going to war: A threat from based on intelligence estimates of Iraqi efforts to create weapons of mass destruction that the US later found did not exist. At a grand strategic level, however, the Bush Administration and the senior leadership of the US military made the far more serious mistake of wishing away virtually all of the real world problems in stability operations and nation building, and making massive policy and military errors that created much of the climate of insurgency in Iraq.
<snip> It is clear, however, that many of the key decisions involved were made in ways that bypassed the interagency process within the US government, ignored the warnings of US area and intelligence experts, ignored prior military war and stability planning by the US Central Command (USCENTCOM), and ignored the warnings of policy makers and experts in other key coalition states like the Unite Kingdom.
Bernie Gunther said:There are some very useful papers at CSIS . For example Iraq's evolving insurgency (pdf) In other words, they made a total cock of it by believing their own propaganda instead of the evidence and not planning for anything other than their wishes coming true. That's just incompetence and much of their feeble efforts since then have been driven by US domestic considerations, such as looking and sounding tough. That's just more incompetence.
These people should not be allowed to play around with human lives so irresponsibly. Letting them run around blowing shit up with the US military is like giving a tribe of purple-arsed mandrills a big pile of guns to play with and then letting them loose in a crowded public place. Stupidity we can't afford.
pbman said:And as long as the people in iraq continue to agree that it was good to remove saddam, we will be right and you wrong.
They have to live their not you.
pbman said:Best kill us all then bernie, cause we don't listen to the likes of you.
The U.S. military is organized primarily to defeat other armies, and it was not prepared to face an insurgency. Insurgencies are difficult to counter, requiring ten to twelve years to defeat (as in El Salvador, the Philippines, and Malaysia).
...
The best indicator of success in Iraq will be the political process. Many ministries and government institutions are effectively being rebuilt from scratch, and that takes time, particularly given the insurgency’s intimidation campaign. If the political transition is stymied, U.S. public support for the war will erode.
...
The insurgency is growing in intensity and can be expected to continue at its current level for at least six to twelve months. It has endured despite coalition offensives designed explicitly to eliminate it. The insurgency has specific zones of operation, and it persists in areas where it emerges despite counterinsurgency operations.
...
Even ISF personnel cannot walk into a market without coalition reinforcements; many of them hide their faces lest the insurgents retaliate against them personally.
...
Overall, several signs indicate that a civil conflict is under way in Iraq; the Sunnis certainly seem to see it that way. As the ISF assumes more responsibility, the increased targeting of Sunnis in security operations will run an even greater risk of transforming the counterinsurgency into a war against Sunnis. The insurgents are obviously targeting Shiites, while the growing frequency of low-level attacks on Sunnis and the seizure of Sunni mosques indicate further escalation. Unfortunately, these sorts of situations tend to get worse.
If Dubya rather than bullshitting vaguely about staying the course was being the least bit honest with the public about the stuation in Iraq, leveling with them that the price of failure is catestrophically higher than in Vietnam and that sacrifices are required probably beyond the next presidency in order to avoid disaster I'd say even Kristol is starting to get real.The fact is that political progress needs to be accompanied by an effective military counterinsurgency. And no matter how good a job we are now doing in training Iraqi troops, it is inconceivable that they will be ready to take over the bulk of the counterinsurgency efforts in the very near future. Further, if an Iraqi troop buildup is accompanied by an American force drawdown--as unfortunately even the president suggested Thursday ("As Iraq stands up, our coalition will stand down")--then we will be able at best to maintain an unacceptable status quo. More likely, since Iraqi troops won't be as capable as American ones, the situation will deteriorate. Then the insurgency could become a full-fledged guerrilla war, inviting a civil war--and we would be faced with a choice between complete and ignominious withdrawal or a recommitment of troops.
The only responsible course is to plan on present troop levels for the foreseeable future and to build up Iraqi troops, so as to have enough total forces to win--to provide security, take the fight to the enemy, reduce infiltration on the borders, and so forth. What the president needs to do now is tell the Pentagon to stop talking about (and planning for) withdrawal, and make sure they are planning for victory.
The president knows we have to win this war. If some of his subordinates are trying to find ways to escape from it, he needs to assert control over them, overrule them, or replace them. Having corrected the silly effort by some of his advisers to say the war on terror is not fundamentally a war, he now has to deal with the more serious effort, emanating primarily from the civilian leadership in the Pentagon, to find an excuse not to pursue victory in Iraq. For if Iraq is the central front in the war on terror, we need to win there. And to win, the president needs a defense secretary who is willing to fight, and able to win.
Bernie Gunther said:Not listening to any evidence and only believing what you want to believe, is all very well for propaganda purposes perhaps, but when military leaders do that kind of stuff it's called "hopeless incompetence"

