Your argument makes no sense. You say that the buy to letters have overextended themselves, yet in spite of a stagnating market and a need to make up mortgage payments they are stubbornly waiting for tenants to materialise to pay their excessive rents or house prices to go up again. I think this is highly unlikely - what would you rather happen as a btl landlord, run out of money and have the bank repossess or lower your asking price a bit?
Hmmm, your argument presupposes that all buy-to-letters are "of a type" in that they'd accept a non-deductible loss (i.e. a less than break-even rent) rather than garner a premium (or even a higher price on auction after repossession) for the dwelling being unlived-in. I think
that is "highly unlikely".
If anything, btl landlords have increased the supply of housing by taking on the construction risk in developments that would probably not have been built if a substantial amount of sales had not been made off plan.
The supply does not increase if the BtL landlords don't rent out, and of course "off-plan" purchases have the benefit of being cheaper than the "retail" price of a property in the development, so perhaps that makes what I suggest above even
more likely.
What about people who aren't on benefits and who are extremely low down on housing lists but who can't afford a mortgage? Should someone's right to housing be dismissed by policymakers because they have a job?
Of course not, I wasn't aware that I'd even implied that such should be the case (because I haven't actually implied that such should be the case).
Because there certainly exist people in this category who have been able to rent because of new properties coming onto the market in the way I've described: either directly, or by trading up from lower quality accommodation that they would have rented otherwise, and that now is free for someone (presumably earning less) to rent. It is thus clearly a Good Thing.
And yet all I hear, especially from my w/c mates, is that rental and purchase prices continue to hold or even rise, not that they've fallen. Perhaps they live in the "wrong" areas, eh?
Now if I was shown evidence that btl landlords are competing directly for existing housing stock with renters and ordinary housebuyers then I would be more inclined to agree with you, but that is a different question.
btw. I've never heard of the 'area average' rent effect. "Areas become populated by those that can afford to rent there"
Profound.
No, just a rather obvious truth.
p.s. You might want to take a minute to consider that perhaps prices aren't dropping because of a rise in demand, because you're looking at too small a time slice, or even that people are biding their time in the current climate before buying. All these options seem to me to be more logical than your characterisation of the average 'overextended' landlord.
Ah, so your argument is predicated on what
may happen, rather than on what has and is?
You could have made life a lot easier by admitting that what you're peddling is fantasy a bit earlier.
