Urban75 Home About Offline BrixtonBuzz Contact

What are UKIPs actual policies?

And if we become a tiny, insular and monocultural nation, that comparison might bear some weight.

None of which they are. You may not like them, but for crime, life expectancy and self-reported happiness they are (among) the best.

And you're merely trying to distract attention from the correlation.


"poverty = crime"

The point is, it's not poverty that correlates. It's inequality.
 
Pay for what? I support social insurance. What egalitarian measures do you have in mind?

What moral right do I, or the state, have to penalise people for success? That's a frontal assault on property rights.

Meritocratic measures like selective education can work. I don't see what's wrong with helping people fulfill their potential. Equality of outcome is the opposite of this endeavour.
I don't recognise property rights as an absolute. In fact, it is the uneven distribution of property that is the root cause of inequality.

And taking a big chunk of rich people's income isn't penalising them for their success – they get to keep some of it.
 
N

The point is, it's not poverty that correlates. It's inequality.
Precisely. If you go to the poorest parts of the world you will often find very little crime. It's not just inequality, though. It is inequality combined with social pressure to 'succeed'. It is not a coincidence that crime rates in the country that propagates the myth of the self-made man, the US, are sky high. Inequality plus expectation produces the conditions for high levels of crime.

To take Azrael's example, in 1900 Britain, where 40% of men and 100% of women did not have the vote, this second bit – the expectation of the poor that they could, perhaps should, be rich – is largely absent.
 
I don't recognise property rights as an absolute.
I'm sure you don't, which is why I'm a conservative and you're not. :) Without absolute property rights the way is open for a powerful elite to seize our modest gains and impoverish us all. Attempts at egalitarianism lead to the opposite. The iron logic of unintended consequences.

If rich people have to pay a larger proportion of their income, they're being penalized for success. Of course, it's not the filthy rich who really suffer; it's the poor blighters in the middle. Worse, forced redistribution -- of that which we have no right to redistribute -- diminishes the chance for personal generosity and kindness, by assuming that we can't be trusted to do right by ourselves.
None of which they are.
I don't claim to be an expert on Scandanavian countries, but so far as I know they're relatively settled, don't have the diversity Britain does, and are rather smaller. Point is, they're very different cultures, and comparisons should be made with care. I don't dislike them at all: I just think there's no point in trying to copy them.

As for inequality causing crime, are you suggesting that if the average wage was, oh, £100,000, but a significant number earned more, that would somehow cause crime?
 
To take Azrael's example, in 1900 Britain, where 40% of men and 100% of women did not have the vote, this second bit – the expectation of the poor that they could, perhaps should, be rich – is largely absent.
Given that the middle class was by this time in rude health, that isn't really true. What we had in 1900 that we don't have now is a widely-enforced moral code. I'll grant that pressure to succeed can tempt people into crime, but only if conscience is weak. Trying to bribe criminals to be good is a band-aid that will fail: unchecked greed is insatiable. Address the cause, lack of restraint, not the symptom.
 
As for inequality causing crime, are you suggesting that if the average wage was, oh, £100,000, but a significant number earned more, that would somehow cause crime?
£100,000, no – assuming such wages weren't inflationary and they had the same purchasing power as now. But capitalism doesn't work like that. A person on minimum wage earns more than most people in the world. But they can struggle to make ends meet, because housing is in shortage and such things as a higher education now cost money. There is also the added stress of job uncertainty and the prospect of being hounded by the authorities just to draw a small sum of money to scrape by on.

The economic model we currently have pretty much ensures that a significant proportion of the population will feel that they are struggling, no matter how rich the society as a whole becomes. Why? Because of ownership. Finite, but essential, services such as housing are largely controlled in private hands. Council housing isn't charity – the rents pay for the cost of building – yet look at how much higher private rents and mortgages are. That is money that is effectively stolen from those who don't own by those who do.
 
The economic model we currently have pretty much ensures that a significant proportion of the population will feel that they are struggling, no matter how rich the society as a whole becomes. Why? Because of ownership.
This only works if we rate materialism above all other things. The worst aspects, like inadequate housing supply and unemployment insurance, can be improved within the current system, although I don't see why rent is "stolen".

What alternative do you suggest?
 
It's quite interesting that crime is increasing rapidly in China as they acquire wealth but also arch capitalism and inequality.

A few years ago, youth knife crime would have been dismissed as the sort of thing that happens in corrupt western countries.

But now it's happening in Chinese cities. one of my wife's childhood friends was stabbed to death the other day by a young guy who'd had an argument with his uncle :(

It might not be inequality per se, I think it's westernisation bringing isolation and social alienation
 
This only works if we rate materialism above all other things. The worst aspects, like inadequate housing supply and unemployment insurance, can be improved within the current system, although I don't see why rent is "stolen".

What alternative do you suggest?
Rent is stolen because it is not earned. Landlords make money not by working but by owning and exploiting others' need for what they own.

The alternative I suggest is a mixed economy in which every essential service is owned collectively, but people are free to make whatever else they care to and yes, try to sell it if they wish. Every company would have to be worker-owned, though. Shareholders are another class of leeches who earn from owning rather than doing – there is no need for them whatever, they are simply taking some of what is rightfully the workers'. Something like John Lewis, if you want a model.

Venture capital would also be supplied collectively. An independent body separate from government a bit like the BBC could administer it – and it would be done as locally as possible. There is way too much scope for exploitation in private finance – the financiers make more than those they finance for what is essentially a fairly simple service. Why? Because they can – they, again, are the ones with the resources and they can hold those without resources to ransom.

I would envisage that tax rates would be very progressive – if 50% of GDP needs to go to the state, say, then the top rate of income tax should be at the very least above 60%.

This kind of change would require a clear constitution to back it up. It would need a huge amount of debate to bring it about. Ultimately, I think a majority of people would want it. The powerful few who most certainly would not will do their damndest to stop it.
 
Possibly, although I'm sure there are other factors that could be adduced in a brutal soul-destroying dictatorship.
The same regime they've had for nearly 60 years, you mean? Things must have been so much more easy going during the Cultural Revolution.

No, I' sure the reasons are as RG says.
 
Possibly, although I'm sure there are other factors that could be adduced in a brutal soul-destroying dictatorship.

Yeah, but these changes are happening as they become more like us. 20 years ago it would have been unheard of for a youth to stab another youth in China, back when the regime was much stricter.
 
Shareholders are another class of leeches who earn from owning rather than doing – there is no need for them whatever, they are simply taking some of what is rightfully the workers'.
Leeches don't put anything in. The shareholders have risked their capital, and get rewards proportionate to the risk. If the workers want to buy shares, they can.

Your plan represses some to liberate others. It'll limit the freedom of individuals to form collective enterprises in a model of their own choosing and hand the state vast powers (since laws will be needed to stop people setting up private companies). I'm sure a new elite would rapidly crop up, as always happens with sweeping attempts to remodel society. And we won't know how bad it'll get until it's happened, by which time, it could well be too late to return the genie to its bottle.

If a state can seize over half of people's income, what's to stop an elite from pocketing much of it?

Economically, how will this affect international trade? I imagine companies will give the City a wide berth, impoverishing the nation. And where are workers going to get all the capital to fund their own companies?

My ambitions are far more modest: in the main, defend the realm, hold people to account for crimes, restore selective education, limit the state's power, and provide social insurance. I really don't think it's my place to tell people how to organize their lives. Or to create a brave new world.
 
The same regime they've had for nearly 60 years, you mean? Things must have been so much more easy going during the Cultural Revolution.
I don't imagine there was much scope for knife crime during the Great Leap Forward! China's shifted economically in recent years. Maybe that's got something to do with it. Or maybe something else entirely. Whatever the trigger, the cause is a lack of self-control and conscience, as always with these things.
 
Yeah, but these changes are happening as they become more like us. 20 years ago it would have been unheard of for a youth to stab another youth in China, back when the regime was much stricter.
It's very vague to say "more like us". I don't see any evidence of a causal relationship. Crime statistics are feindishly complicated. You'd probably have to break it down by province, and be an expect on a host of cultures, to get close to an answer.
 
I really don't think it's my place to tell people how to organize their lives. Or to create a brave new world.
Providing essential services collectively is not telling people how to organise their lives. There is huge scope for personal freedom in such a model, just not scope for profiteering off the fact that you are wealthier than others – that's all such a system would do. In fact, there would be more freedom – freed from exploitation, the majority would no longer have to struggle.

As for telling people how they should set up companies, exactly that is done now. I'm afraid I don't share your enthusiasm for the dynamism of private capital. Private capital finances a great deal of unimaginative, conservative crap. You also miss my point that a lot of this would be done at a very local level – in fact, as a basic tenet, it should be done at as local a level as possible.

Regarding international trade, well it would mean leaving or radically changing the EU. It would also mean a lot of expropriations. It could be done, though, if the will were there, and I wouldn't imagine things changing overnight. And the fact that a country like Britain was doing it would mean that it could spread – harder for the US to fund a coup here.;)
 
I don't imagine there was much scope for knife crime during the Great Leap Forward! China's shifted economically in recent years. Maybe that's got something to do with it. Or maybe something else entirely. Whatever the trigger, the cause is a lack of self-control and conscience, as always with these things.

It's shifted economically and with economic change comes social change (although, sadly, as we all know, not political change as yet)
 
Whatever the trigger, the cause is a lack of self-control and conscience, as always with these things.
You are confusing two things here. Self-control is going to vary by individual, but I can predict with almost absolute certainty that during a recession the number of burglaries will go up. This does not absolve the individual burglar of responsibility for their action, but the fact that I can predict it means that, after careful study, I should be able to say which kinds of society will have high crime and which low crime. Yes, we have to hold people responsible for their actions, but they are also a product of their environment. Given different choices, many burglars would never have turned to burglary.
 
As for telling people how they should set up companies, exactly that is done now.
Not so. So far as I'm aware there's nothing stopping people setting up lots and lots of workers' collectives. Freed from the need to make a profit, they could be a formidable force in the marketplace.

Your system might mean more freedom for some if it worked as intended. I don't see it working. The potential for abuse from a state with ulterior motives is terrifying. If you think the expenses scandal was bad, just imagine where "expropriation" will get us. And are countries like the USA just going to stand by while our government seizes their citizens' money? I doubt it.

If people can't do what they like with their money (so long as they don't fund criminal enterprises) then it isn't really theirs. It's leased to them, and can be taken at will. There's no security, and without security, there's no liberty. The two go hand in hand.

Right now, yes, people often profiteer from an accident of birth. The world isn't perfect, and attempts to make it so invariably lead to disaster. Instead of aiming at imposing economic purity with "expropriations" and so on, why not moderate your aims? Get a few dozen workers' collectives competing successfully on the market. If that works, then and only then is it time to talk about taking it further.
 
Given that the middle class was by this time in rude health, that isn't really true. What we had in 1900 that we don't have now is a widely-enforced moral code.
I don't think that's the reason. The middle class may have been in rude health, but so what. The disenfranchised poor of 1900 expected to stay poor, and they had no political voice (aside from a union) because they had no vote. So expectations were not ramped up. Aspirational adverts were not targetted at them. They were not told that they could succeed, that they should succeed. They were not told that material wealth would make them happy. They grew up and, in many cases, went and did what their fathers had done (in the case of boys).
 
Given different choices, many burglars would never have turned to burglary.
Indeed. Maybe they'd have turned to fraud instead. Whatever its form the basic, selfish impulse -- thinking you've a right to hurt other people for your own convenience -- is identical. If crime goes up in a recession, it's only because the burglar can't fulfill the impulse in other ways. If he had the moral tools to resist temptation we'd be a lot safer. Instead of bribing him to be good, why not try to persuade him to reform?

Note I'm talking about acquisitive crime here. If genuine need crime occurs, the accused should be acquitted. I don't see this being a major issue, but it would remove the distracting "starving mother" arguments from the table.
 
I don't think that's the reason. The middle class may have been in rude health, but so what. The disenfranchised poor of 1900 expected to stay poor, and they had no political voice (aside from a union) because they had no vote. So expectations were not ramped up. Aspirational adverts were not targetted at them. They were not told that they could succeed, that they should succeed. They were not told that material wealth would make them happy. They grew up and, in many cases, went and did what their fathers had done (in the case of boys).
I believe all househoulders had the vote by 1900 (or if not all, most of them). There were gaps, but that's plenty of people of modest means. And the swathes of Victorian advertising contradict your claim that material wealth wasn't promoted. They've been selling happiness for centuries. Whether it was targeted at your poor person or not, he or she still saw it and its message. Of course, the poor could always rise up the ladder and become enfranchised. And this is leaving aside whether enfranchisement could take unofficial forms, which I'm pretty sure it did.

You're right that sons often followed their fathers. Society had become more settled after the upheavals of the industrial revolution. But there was also a pervasive religious element that's simply lacking today. I'm not a believer, but religion is a means of spreading ethics.

Edwardian society was grossly unequal, and awash with materialism. There should have been some effect from all that.
 
Indeed. Maybe they'd have turned to fraud instead. Whatever its form the basic, selfish impulse -- thinking you've a right to hurt other people for your own convenience -- is identical. If crime goes up in a recession, it's only because the burglar can't fulfill the impulse in other ways. If he had the moral tools to resist temptation we'd be a lot safer. Instead of bribing him to be good, why not try to persuade him to reform?

Note I'm talking about acquisitive crime here. If genuine need crime occurs, the accused should be acquitted. I don't see this being a major issue, but it would remove the distracting "starving mother" arguments from the table.
Yes, I wasn't talking about starving mothers either. I'm talking about someone who wants to own more stuff, essentially, but doesn't have the money to do it. (I'm not talking about drug addicts stealing to fund their habits either – in reality, a large chunk of the prison population would not be there if we had sane drug laws.)

As for 'bribing him to be good', I'm not proposing that. I'm proposing fairer treatment. As I think I've mentioned to you before, game theory comes in here – if you make it in their self-interest to treat others as they would like to be treated, in other words, if they see good treatment reciprocated, you will much more often than not see good treatment back.

I don't quite share your disdain for all thieves, btw. If you've been at the wrong end of society, I see no particular reason why you should be unduly worried about people who have much more than you losing some stuff. Again, back to game theory: if the world's being unjust to me, I'd be stupid to carry on being just to it indefinitely.

I remember an interview on the telly a few years back with a man who had dodged the army in WW2. He'd grown up in care homes and had a very rough time, and his reaction to the idea that he should go and fight for the country that had given him this life was "Bollocks to that."
 
I believe all househoulders had the vote by 1900 (or if not all, most of them).
If you didn't own your house, you had to be paying above a certain amount of rent. As I said before, around 40% of the adult male population did not have the vote – that is, the poorest 40%. Advertising and the like were around, but in no way as ubiquitous as now, and it would have been pretty non-existent in working class tenements.

But as I said in parentheses above, the moronic drug laws are responsible for a huge chunk of crime – both those convicted of drug crimes and those who steal to fund a habit. In 1900 there was no such prohibition, so you need to factor that in before you can make a meaningful comparison.
 
Your system might mean more freedom for some if it worked as intended. I don't see it working. The potential for abuse from a state with ulterior motives is terrifying. If you think the expenses scandal was bad, just imagine where "expropriation" will get us. And are countries like the USA just going to stand by while our government seizes their citizens' money? I doubt it.
.
I genuinely don't think generous social provision has to go hand in hand with authoritarianism. The two are not causally linked. And it's not a case of 'state knows better', just one of 'state provides for basic needs'. With this bit, I'm only really proposing what we had before Thatcher – and expropriations would be done with compensation. I'd need to thrash out the details of that – nationalised industries were flogged off so much under their real worth, it could take a lot to buy them back, but the banking crisis has shown how much can be found where there is the will.

The radical bit is the idea of ending income through ownership. The vast majority of us would be so much happier if this were done. I'm well aware that it is not an idea that will die a natural death any time soon.
 
I don't quite share your distain for all thieves, btw. If you've been at the wrong end of society, I see no particular reason why you should be unduly worried about people who have much more than you losing some stuff. Again, back to game theory: if the world's being unjust to me, I'd be stupid to carry on being just to it indefinitely.
It's not an abstract like the world a thief is taking it out on, it's another human being. Maybe they've worked hard for what they have, maybe not. Maybe what the thief takes is of great value to them. Point is, the thief doesn't know, and attacks some else's security and peace of mind for his or her own purposes.

Taking off faceless companies can be a step down that road. Even if it isn't, if property rights aren't absolute, it's individuals who'll suffer from the attitude of "take what I want", not the big companies, just like it's the poor who suffer most at the hands of criminals.

I'm not up on game theory, but "treating as you'd like to be treated" is not thieving off the thief. It isn't making sure his potential victim has less stuff. A country could have excellent child care and still be unequal. Compassion and decency, not equality, are the key.
But as I said in parentheses above, the moronic drug laws are responsible for a huge chunk of crime – both those convicted of drug crimes and those who steal to fund a habit. In 1900 there was no such prohibition, so you need to factor that in before you can make a meaningful comparison.
You're right about prohibition, and I used to employ a mechanistic "prohibition = crime" argument. I'm not so sure now. Why turn to chemical oblivion? There has to be an underlying cause. I suspect we'd have a serious drugs problem if everything was on sale over the counter, or heroin was freely available from GPs. Something deeper than the law of the market is going on here.

As for advertising, I doubt there's a comprehensive survey available, but in old photographs you can see cities, trams and stations plastered with the stuff.

The 1867 and 1884 Reform Acts specified householders and people paying £10 rent for unfurnished rooms. Don't think they required the householder to own their property: if that was the case, most of the government would have been disenfranchised! (Renting or, for the more wealthy, leasing for a few years was the norm.) Not sure how disenfranchisement tallied with poverty: male lodgers and males who weren't householders were denied the vote, amongst others.
 
Back
Top Bottom