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Wales Euro Elections

I think there are positives in that Plaid Cymru could win the national vote for the first time in our history, but the negatives are that two very right-wing parties could beat the Lib Dems and finish 4th.
 
I'm not registered to vote here, but I got a thing through my door saying I can vote, so... might as well try :D

I'll be voting Green, as whilst not opposed to Welsh independence, i'm not hugely moved by it (although Plaid do seem to have some sensible policies), and the three main parties are a joke. I'd only vote lib dem in the generals cos where i'm registered to vote the Tories "might" win there. The environment is pretty much priority, IMO.

I reckon it'll be weird results...
 
Welsh result

Results should be in by about 10pm Sunday night, so here's a punt at the result in Wales (based on nothing more than informed guesswork):

Plaid 22%
Tory 22%
Labour 21%
UKIP 12%
Lib Dem 10%
Green 5%
BNP 5%
Others 3%

This would mean UKIP getting the 4th seat :(

The results in 2004:

Labour Party 297,810 32.1 +0.2
Conservative 177,771 19.1 −3.7
Plaid Cymru 159,888 17.2 −12.4
UK Independence 96,677 10.4 +7.3
Liberal Democrat 96,116 10.3 +2.1
Green 32,761 3.6 +1.0
British National 27,135 3.0 N/A
Forward Wales 17,280 1.9 N/A
Christian Democratic Party 6,821 0.7 N/A
Respect 5,427 0.6 N/A
 
Tories- 21.2%, 1 seat Kay Swinburne, +1.8

Labour- 20.3%, 1 seat Derek Vaughan, -12.1

Plaid- 18.5%, 1 seat Jill Evans, +1.1

UKIP- 12.8%, 1 seat John Bufton, +2.3

Lib Dems- 10.7%, +0.2
Greens- 5.6%, +2,0
BNP- 5.4%, +2.5
Christians- 1.9%
SLP- 1.8%
No2EU- 1.3%
Jury Team- 0.6%


In electoral terms its an advance for Plaid Cymru, but from the point of view of my country it is shitty to have a UKIP mep in Wales and a fucking disaster for the Tories to win a national election in Wales.

Greens staying ahead of BNP is a nice result, as is the generally weak rise in the BNP vote compared to what was anticipated.

Labour's vote share annihilated.

My dream joint Plaid-Green slate would've won the vote and might've kept UKIP out, getting that 2nd seat for a Green. Dream on lewislewis!
 
turnout: 684,520 - Nobody won!!

37,114 people voted BNP - up from the last euro election but 5,083 less people than the last election of any kind.
 
In electoral terms its an advance for Plaid Cymru, but from the point of view of my country it is shitty to have a UKIP mep in Wales and a fucking disaster for the Tories to win a national election in Wales.

But not much of an advancement really. Considering Labour are currently so unpopular PC must have been hoping for a far bigger slice of the protest vote. Ditto the Lib Dems.

Talking of the Lib Dems - anyone else getting fed up of those tossers constantly portraying their Cardiff Central seat as some kind of urban ghetto and conveniently forgetting to mention that it's populated by nice middle-class students. Ugh.
 
But not much of an advancement really. Considering Labour are currently so unpopular PC must have been hoping for a far bigger slice of the protest vote. Ditto the Lib Dems.

True, Plaid were hoping for way more than a 1.5% increase, and were talking up their chances of finishing first. I definitely thought Plaid would just about win it. It didn't materialise.

Plaid did finish first in 7 constituencies though, if they won all of those at a General Election it would be their best GE result ever.

Constituency breakdowns are on a blog (not including the smaller parties unfortunately):
http://guerrilla-welsh-fare.blogspot.com/2009/06/eu-results-by-constituency.html
 
The Welsh result for the Tories was the biggest surprise me, I'm not strong on Welsh politics and didn't see this one coming. Also the BNP have increased their vote even if less than anticipated.

Can someone enlighten me as to this :confused:
 
Someone did an extrapolation of EU votes in Wales on to a General Election vote
Quite a striking map
genelec.jpg

The tiny speck of orange bottom right is Cardiff Central.
 
Results should be in by about 10pm Sunday night, so here's a punt at the result in Wales (based on nothing more than informed guesswork):

Plaid 22%
Tory 22%
Labour 21%
UKIP 12%
Lib Dem 10%
Green 5%
BNP 5%
Others 3%

This would mean UKIP getting the 4th seat :(

OK, I overplayed the Plaid vote by 4% but the rest was pretty close.
Now if Plaid had increased its vote nationally as much as we did in Wrecsam...
 
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