Jonti said:It's a metaphor, not a cop out! And it's a bit rich of you to complain. Didn't you say (of your own, determinist philosophy) The fact that it is problematic is no worry to me. But no amount of reductive analysis enables one to understand a movie, or a poem. I mean, cut me the same slack, huh?![]()
If every random event was treated as just an empirical given not to be questioned or explained, then science would never have got off the ground. I'm just saying that there's no particular reason to give up yet!
Jonti said:You seem to hold that information can neither be created or destroyed. That's by no means a certainty is it? Readers may think about the planet now, compared to a few thousand million years back. There's a lot more going on, a lot more detailed events happening. Is there really no more information at play? That's not an easy thing to believe.
But the earth is not a closed system. During that time it has received a lot of low entropy energy from the sun. Life is a very strange thing and civilisation is even stranger, but in terms of thermodynamics they are unspecial.
Jonti said:I'm sure you have a clear idea of what you mean by information. But there is a sense in which the beholder ("reader") decides what is and what isn't information. Remember the old joke about punch cards -- the less card there is left, the more information it contains! More generally, the information contained in a binary file (for example) depends on how it is read. If it were a program file, it could, in theory, result in quite different programs when run on different systems.
This is a very good point that's difficult to answer. Yes there is a distinction between information and information that we can use, which is surely related to the amount of information we have about the type of information we are looking at. To understand what I am writing, you need to know how to read English for example.
I believe that there is enough information in the universe to predict its future states. I don't believe that all this information is accessible to us. I certainly do not believe that it is possible for the human race (presumably with the aid of powerful computers) to be able to know and predict everything about every particle in the universe.
Jonti said:Nah, this does not follow. It really depends on what you want your science to do. Anyway, consider that the addition of random noise to otherwise determinist processes would result in a non-determinist universe. The conventional interpretation is that phenemena such as radioactive decay do just that. You don't seem to accept that![]()
Certainly scientists have no way of predicting the decay of an atom but I honestly don't know how many believe that it is not a deterministic process.
As I understand it, any experiment with quantum particles assumes that the particles in question are not entangled with their environment or rather that the entanglements 'average out'. Given that the experimenter is already applying a statistical assumption at the start of the experiment, it is unsurprising that the result has a random component.
Jonti said:Or what about meteorology? Chaos will always limit how far ahead we can make accurate weather predictions. But I don't see that as placing a pessimistic restriction on questions of meteorology. The fact we cannot minutely predict the weather in Brighton ten years in advance hardly matters. There's still a very great deal to learn about the dynamics of weather systems, on other planets too.
I'm not so concerned with the question of how much science can predict but how much science can explain. A chaotic system is, of course, perfectly deterministic there is no mystery here, but yes it is practically impossible to predict a month ahead nevermind a year.
If the weather were not just chaotic but random - ie there were processes which we cannot access or completely understand - then this is asserting that the explanatory value (as opposed to the predictive power) of science is absolutely limited. I don't think such pessimistic assertions are warranted.
Jonti said:Agreed, the operation of the brain is dependent on notions of time and space. That's what makes understanding time such an interesting project, and demands that consciousness be included.
Time does seem crucial to consciousness (whatever consciousness is). To fly off at a tangent, Hegel built a philosophical system using Zeno paradoxes in order to resolve the question of the object and subject in history. I've always thought of his version of the dialectic as a distorted version of the laws of thermodynamics. [There is a bit more too it than that but less than you might think.]

