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The Oscars

Discussion in 'books, films, TV, radio & writing' started by Nanker Phelge, Mar 4, 2018.

  1. Nanker Phelge

    Nanker Phelge Monkey Boy

    Oscars. My Predictions

    Best Actress (most interesting category this year)

    Will win: Frances McDormand for Three Billboards
    Outside Bet: Margot Robbie for I, Tonya (she could take it this year and I would be just as pleased)

    Best film:

    Should Win: Get Out (But horror films don't win)
    Will win: Three Billboards (well deserved)
    Please don't give it to The Post, or any of the others.....

    Best Actor:

    Gary Oldman has this in the bag.
    Outside chance: Denzil could be the shock win, but Day-Lewis could also edge it because he is worthy, but not because he deserves it

    Best Supporting Actress

    Won't win: Mary J Blige - she's a singer and not an actress and it is her first nomination - the academy won't betray their trade by giving it to a musician (she is also nominated in best song - hope she wins that)

    Will win: Allison Janney - I, Tonya

    Best Supporting Actor

    Harrelson and Rockwell - vote split - so good chance they won't make it.

    My vote - Christopher Plummer - the man made great work of replacing Spacey. He made it his film. It will also be a stab in Spacey's back by an academy wanting to demonstrate their victim empathy. Plummer deserves to win (cos his performance was the best of this lot), but it if he does it'll be a political vote that ignores the power of his performance.

    Best Director

    Nolan - Dunkirk. Epic work. Oscar bait. A clear winner.

    Best Original Screenplay

    Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri - written by Martin McDonagh - Great writing, a bit clunky, head and shoulders above the others in this catergory

    Best Foreign Language Film

    Not seen any - so no idea

    Best Original Score

    Hans Zimmer - Dunkirk

    Best Cinematography

    Roger Deakins for Blade Runner 2049 (it has to be his year! This man makes films so much better)

    If not Deakins then Hoyte van Hoytema for Dunkirk

    Best Sound Editing

    I'd wager Baby Driver gets a nod here, but it should be Dunkirk.

    There's some other awards I can't be arsed to comment on....so they'll be what they be....

    What's your thoughts?

    Tomorrow I expect to wake up completely wrong as I do most years....
  2. trashpony

    trashpony Never knowingly underawed

    I'm hoping my friend Tanya wins best editing for I Tonya

    I don't care about anything else really
    QueenOfGoths and Nanker Phelge like this.
  3. mod

    mod A modernist

    Lady Bird will win best picture.
  4. Nanker Phelge

    Nanker Phelge Monkey Boy

    Not a chance
  5. Orang Utan

    Orang Utan Sub-Sub-Librarian

    Why the certainty?
    Why are people so certain about things they cannot be certain about? :D
  6. D'wards

    D'wards I'm an excellent driver

    I put £20 on Lady Bird and Gerwig to win their categories separately. The odds are quite long so it was worth a punt.

    The Oscars have shown us recently they will bend to political pressure and harranging, and what with all the #metoo women in Hollywood are "so hot right now".

    I think Three Billboards will win though, but my personal favourite is The Florida Project.

    Lady Bird and Three Billboards both fantastic films as well though .
    Sue likes this.
  7. Orang Utan

    Orang Utan Sub-Sub-Librarian

    People are betting on it? FFS!
    Can't people just enjoy the surprise. Why make a game of it? :mad:
  8. D'wards

    D'wards I'm an excellent driver

    You seem to get furious over the most trivial things . I hope you're not a driver
  9. Nanker Phelge

    Nanker Phelge Monkey Boy

    you lost £20
  10. Gromit

    Gromit International Man of Misery

    I want Get Out to win something.

    I think they'll throw it a bone in the form of original screenplay award.
    William Hill bookies agree and have it as favourite for that category.

    It deserves to win something but it doesn't deserve a token win out of demographical politics.
  11. Orang Utan

    Orang Utan Sub-Sub-Librarian

    Nope. I just don't how people can predict these things. Best stick to what you think SHOULD win, not what you think will win. No one can know, you're just guessing
  12. D'wards

    D'wards I'm an excellent driver

    Not true

    I just lost £40
  13. D'wards

    D'wards I'm an excellent driver

    I used the same logic and won nuff dollar on Moonlight last year. Cos it followed the #oscarsowhite scandal .
  14. Nanker Phelge

    Nanker Phelge Monkey Boy

    Anyone can predict based on the history of the awards. William Goldman has been 95% right predicting for years.
  15. belboid

    belboid TUC Off Your Knees

    I think you have them pretty much spot on.

    Call Me By Your Name got best adapted screenplay, and del Toro for director. A Fantastic Woman for foreign language
    Nanker Phelge likes this.
  16. Gromit

    Gromit International Man of Misery

    Wow Get out for screen play was 4/6 when I looked earlier. It's now 8/15. Being backed heavily.
  17. D'wards

    D'wards I'm an excellent driver

    I think it will be an odd ceremony this year, what with all that's gone on.

    Seth Rogan said he won't crack gags about #metoo in the opening monologue as he wants to avoid grief for making light of it.

    Saoirse Ronan pointed out that everyone is too terrified to ask women who they are wearing on the red carpet now, which was always a mainstay.

    Whilst it's good that it is acknowledging the politics and dark side of the film industry in a bid to do something about it, it's at the cost of some of the levity.
    However, like all awards ceremonies, it's an entirely pointless affair, and has fuck all to do with the actual films released in any year.
    The box office is the only influencing factor- not diversity or anything political.
  18. spanglechick

    spanglechick High Empress of Dressing Up

    Film: 3 Billboards (I'd prefer Shape of Water)

    Director: Del Toro

    Original screenplay: 3 Billboards (mc donagh snubbed in the siector nominations should cash in here).

    Actress - McDormand. Bet the house on it.

    Actor: should be Chalemet (so?) Will be Oldman

    Supp. Actor: Rockwell

    Supp. Actress: probably Janney, but Spencer is in with a shout.

    Score: shape of water

    Production design: shape of water

    Most tech awards will go to Dunkirk.

    Makeup to Darkest Hour and costume to Victoria and Abdul.

    Song is probably "this is me", but could be "remember me".
    trashpony and PippinTook like this.
  19. belboid

    belboid TUC Off Your Knees

    No shocks so far.
  20. alan_

    alan_ Well-Known Member

    why are you so sure they cannot be certain about it ?
  21. Maltin

    Maltin Well-Known Member

    Are they a partner at PwC?
    ash likes this.
  22. Reiabuzz

    Reiabuzz Well-Known Member

    This is even more toe curling than usual.

    That skit where a bunch of actors went across the road to 'honour' the plebs sitting in a cinema. I'm watching the whole thing through my fingers.
    Badgers likes this.
  23. krtek a houby

    krtek a houby The Machine Stops

    Well done to Blade Runner.

    And to Gary Oldman (even though I'll probably not watch the film itself).
    Badgers likes this.
  24. Reiabuzz

    Reiabuzz Well-Known Member

    My hours are a bit fucked so watched the whole thing for the first time in years. One observation - why is there still a best actress category? No other category (best director/editor/screenwriter etc etc) divides the genders. Seems a bit odd in the current climate of the pursuit of equality in hollywood.
    PippinTook likes this.
  25. Orang Utan

    Orang Utan Sub-Sub-Librarian

    Maybe cos that would mean fewer women would win awards
    Maltin likes this.
  26. Reiabuzz

    Reiabuzz Well-Known Member

    I think it's more likely that it dates back to the stone ages and it also provides more opportunities for the studios to plaster 'oscar winner' on their posters. If we're modernizing everything else it may be time to sort that one out.
  27. DotCommunist

    DotCommunist my world is fire and blood

    i refuse to watch gary oldman in a fat suit do a hagiographic portrayal of a cunt.

    But I will have to do Shape of Water now. I hear someone fucks a fish in it? Might as well...
    Kaka Tim and krtek a houby like this.
  28. Nanker Phelge

    Nanker Phelge Monkey Boy

    It's exactly this....
  29. Nanker Phelge

    Nanker Phelge Monkey Boy

    Deakin's finally got his Oscar....which by now is more like a lifetime achievement gong.
  30. Orang Utan

    Orang Utan Sub-Sub-Librarian

    Shape Of Water is ok, but not worthy of any Oscars (except maybe Sally Hawkins, as she is brilliant). Found the production design a bit over the top. Everything looked dirty and two of the main characters were supposed to be cleaners!

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