roryer
Good post, and I agree with much of your analysis. In particular:
The chief problem we have is that we have created a car dependent soceity which despite the obvious advantages of a car for an individual, their over use has massive externailties; such as of loss of local services, space inefficiencies, road safety, poor health from lack of exercise, social exclusion particularly for the young, old and poor who do not have access to cars and are unable to use alternative means due to the lack of provision and safety issues, congestion, pollution both noise and air and of course environmental problems from their emissions.
and
When a bundle of push and pull measures are implemented in a coordinated way it can have a incredible success, places like Wintertur in Switzerland and Copenhagen have both decreased car usuage while car ownership has continued to rise. I was in Wintertur this weekend, and no-body can seriously go there and not enjoy the peaceful city centre, with bars and cafes, and live music taking the place of cars as the street life.
This is a point I hinted at some posts above: it's not about reducing car ownership, so much as reducing car usage and encouraging people who do have a car to use other means of transport when available, especially for shorter trips and in cities. The best ways to achieve this are better co-ordination of bus and rail services, something commonplace in Europe but virtually non-existent here, and improved facilities for cyclists.
That said, I still have more reservations than you about cycling in urban areas. It's not so much the physical effort that puts a lot of people off (and electric bikes can help there) as the danger of sharing the road with cars, taxis and the ubiquitous white van men - a stereotype which, I hate to say, I find a lot of van drivers live up to.
The fact is, though, that urban and extra-urban transport are two quite different issues. The solutions you've flagged up - more cycling provision, better buses - are good for short-distance transport, esepcially urban transport, but won't do anything to address problems of inter-city and rural transportation. It's here that faster rail services come in.
My point is about priorities of where to spend a finite transport budget, huge infrastructural items like Maglev is a worthy engineering project and one that should be considred but it will not solve the traffic problem.
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Since proportionally very few trips are made by car between London and Glasgow a Maglev would cost billions to build but have almost no impact on car dependency which is our major problem.
I think you're wrong here. Congestion on the major trunk roads isn't yet as serious as in cities, but it's a growing problem and there will need to be increased provision for long-distance journeys. I'm sure you'd agree that just building more motorways is not a solution to this, so we're left with public transport - either trains or aeroplanes. Of these two, trains are much less environmentally damaging and often more convenient, especially in these days of heightened security, so I would favour putting much more money into the railway system. Before that can happen the system needs a major organisational shake-up (renationalisation is the best solution), but let's set that question aside for the time being.
Maglev is as yet fairly experimental, and I flagged it up more as a possibility than anything else. If it's to happen it's some way off yet. But conventional high-speed lines of the sort seen in mainland Europe (e.g. the French TGV) are far from unrealistic and, indeed, proposals are being taken fairly seriously now. Part of a north-south route even exists, in the form of the old Great Central main line. It'd be mighty expensive, but worth it in the long run.
You say that 'proportionally very few trips are made by car between London and Glasgow,' which is true if you're counting London-Glasgow as a percentage of all car journeys, but IMO not really that relevant. Firstly, a whole load of journeys are being made along parts of that route (e.g. London-Manchester), and a whole load more to places near to it. Moreover, a fair few passenger journeys are made along that route by air. Finally, traffic on the railways is rising. There's already a capacity problem on the West Coast Main Line, but despite that and the fact that it's Vermin Trains who run the service, some of the airlines have lost business to the railways on London-Manchester and London-Glasgow services. In other words, a proper high-speed train service along that and other major trunk routes would take traffic off the roads, and also from the airlines and from the existing low-speed rail network, which would then have more capacity for shorter-distance passenger traffic and for freight - a crucially important subject, but not one we've yet touched on.
There are no two ways about it: all of this will cost, and much of it will have to come from public money. However, I think it's necessary. You say:
None of these seems very sexy for transport planners and engineers, when actually improving buses and making space for safe cycling and marketing them well is where the solution lies. We need many small projects instead of one massive one.
I agree with that, but with the proviso that the big and the small projects are not mutually exclusive and we need both.