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The Bromley and Chislehurst By-election

Well, a fifth place finish would be nice for the Greens - would be good to come in front of the really right wing nutters. And the Loony, obviously...

Matt
 
Matt S said:
Well, a fifth place finish would be nice for the Greens - would be good to come in front of the really right wing nutters. And the Loony, obviously...

Matt

Who do you fancy for fourth? UKIP?
 
JimPage said:
BNP are calling for a UKIP vote
I've just looked it up. You're right.
- probably just to embarrass them
Sort of. It's an opportunity to express their very hostile view of the UKIP and its candidate, Farage. "Hold your nose - and vote UKIP!" they say - and go on to call Farage a "sleazy philanderer".
 
"Who do you fancy for fourth"

I reckon it could be Labour actually.

Con, LD, UKIP, Labour, Green, others.

Matt
 
vote_green.jpg


as I will be later today :)
 
kingmaker said:
I would doubt the Lib dems will do better than a fairly distant second (which they will settle for). The Lib Dems are doing badly in the polls generally and the Tories are doing well. As for the next GE the Lib dems never do as well at general elections as in by-elections, so I can't see them taking the seat (although nothing is impossible of course)
I wish I hadn't listened to you lot. If all the Green voters (or just some of the Labour ones) had switched to the Lib Dems, they could have ousted the tories from one of their safest seats.

Bob Neill, Conservative: 11,621
(- 11,962 from 2005)
Ben Abbotts, Liberal Democrat: 10,988
(+ 1,620)
Nigel Farage, UKIP: 2,347
(+ 872)
Rachel Reeves, Labour: 1,925
(- 8,316)
Ann Garrett, Green: 811
(- 659)
Paul Winnett, National Front: 476
John Hemming-Clarke, Independent: 442
Steven Uncles, English Democrats: 212
John Cartwright, Monster Raving Looney Party: 132
Nick Hadziannis, Independent: 65
Anne Belsey, Money Reform Party: 33
Turnout: 40.5% (64.9%)
 
Maggot said:
I wish I hadn't listened to you lot.

What a surprising result, given the Lib Dems poor opinion poll ratings. :eek:

They do seem to be the masters of the by-election don't they.

(decides against a career as a political pollster :D)
 
Bob Neill's acceptance speech was really vitriolic, he just slagged of the Lib-Dems for playing dirty. :D
 
Maggot said:
I wish I hadn't listened to you lot. If all the Green voters (or just some of the Labour ones) had switched to the Lib Dems, they could have ousted the tories from one of their safest seats.
you were absolutely right to vote green, and I would have voted that way if I lived in B&C - and saw a point in voting anymore - I would have done so.
2 reasons.
1. there is so very little difference between where the dominant faction in the libdems want to take the party, and where diddy 'dave' wantzs to take the tories, that a lib dem gain amounts to sod all.
2. the greens are the only party with a national base of any size that posits a substantial and meaningful alternative progressive view, due to the 3 main parties all trying to camp on the (discredited) middle ground. supporting them is more important than playing bash-the-tory, however much fun that may be
 
I was served well by vagueness! If you'd asked me what % people would have voted, then I'd've been totally wrong! Was expecting Tories to win by at least a cushion of 10% of the total vote.

Matt
 
Maggot said:
I wish I hadn't listened to you lot. If all the Green voters (or just some of the Labour ones) had switched to the Lib Dems, they could have ousted the tories from one of their safest seats.

Even if the Tories had been ousted in B&C they'd get it back at the next general election.

In the mean time - the Greens have had another welcome dose of credibility.

And I thought that Lib Dem canddidate was as big a tosser as the Tory to be honest.
 
Haller said:
Wasn't he an Owenite SDP MP back in the '80s?

You old git!!! ;)

(Just like me :o )

Almost certainly not the same person :D , but well remembered. John Cartwright (SDP), particularly right-wing MP for Woolwich.

He lost his seat to John Austin-Walker (Lab.) in 1987, back in the distant days when the latter was sort of a proper leftie ...
 
Well, this turned out pretty much like I expected! I bet the LibDems are laughing hard now, they've got a good shot at taking this in the next GE (which could be anything from 12 months away onwards).

The Tory vote was slashed even beyond my expectations (I thought they'd have at least a 1000-2000 votes on the LibDems)...
 
kingmaker said:
I would doubt the Lib dems will do better than a fairly distant second (which they will settle for). The Lib Dems are doing badly in the polls generally and the Tories are doing well. As for the next GE the Lib dems never do as well at general elections as in by-elections, so I can't see them taking the seat (although nothing is impossible of course)

:D
 
Kid_Eternity said:
Well I correctly predicted them Lib_dems would come second, I was just a *little* out on the majority :o :D

Might have been a different story had the Liberals won be I'd still predict a Tory hold here in the next GE when Liberal resources will be more spread.

Mind you on my present form I wouldn't trust myself to predict the winner of a Brazil vs San Marino football match, let alone a GE 3 years away.
 
kingmaker said:
Well I correctly predicted them Lib_dems would come second, I was just a *little* out on the majority :o :D

Might have been a different story had the Liberals won be I'd still predict a Tory hold here in the next GE when Liberal resources will be more spread.

Mind you on my present form I wouldn't trust myself to predict the winner of a Brazil vs San Marino football match, let alone a GE 3 years away.

I'd lay money on the LibDems taking this at the next election. Also the next GE could be as soon as 12-18 months away (if Blair goes at conference Gordon Brown will almost certainly call a snap election) which means the LibDem candidate will be fresh on peoples mind and the Tories are in a dilema to choose Neill again or pick an A Lister (which frankly they should have done if they wanted to win with a good majority).
 
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