we know, and by and large we don't care
what'll happen is that this will rumble on for years or decades boring everyone to death until something actually happens which people do care about and the whole thing will suddenly go into sharp focus and decisions will be made based on the real balance of forces just then.
As we can't predict what that trigger will be, nor when it will happen, there's virtually no point in caring now, and anyone who does is essentially wasting their time unless they're a self-serving politician, either SNP or their direct opponents.