Laptop: Of the things you mentioned, Israel is presently in negotiations with the PA for the Kadima Platform, which of course as I have always said included ceding all of Gaza (already done almost 3 years ago) and 94 to 96% of the "WB," with that deficit exchanged for land within the Greenline. Just 3 days ago the PA refused the offer of Israeli land near Gaza in exchange for the deficit in "WB" land which will include some of the most heavily populated (in terms of Israeli citizens) land in the "WB." So, a "Withdrawal" in those terms is still in the works and in fact would have been completed a year and a half ago (according to the Kadimas Platform) had HAMAS not staged its Gazan coup.
As for a "Palestinian Right of Return," if they want to return to the soon to be independant nation of "Palestine," by all means let them go to Ramallah. If instead you mean let those who want just come to Israel Proper, you know that will never happen. That, in a nutshell, is what the Kadima Platform is all about.
In fact, they will have been given 2 nations of their own (including the British monstrosity of Jordan) carved from histroically Jewish land. To suggest that they also be allowed to flood Israel Proper with their descendants and thus negate the United Nations Mandate of a Jewish Homeland by sheer demographics is an asinine idea. 3 nations? Out of land that was never theirs?
In fact, in the 1949 UN Mediated Armistice Israel allowed 100,000 of them to return immediately in what was to be the first incremental return of those same "Refugees." Problem however is that the Arab negotiating team said no. Their reasoning was that if they allowed for it, that it would then confirm recognition to what they deemed the Zionist Entity. They did however, not suprisingly, accept the 10 million US dollar payout (in 1949 dollars) and received that payout in 1953.
As for "dismantling the Wall," as I have said many times only a very small portion of the "Barrier" is a wall in any way, shape, or form. Most of it is regular chainlink fence. Since its erection it has led to a drop of more than 94% in fatal attacks emanating from land bordered by this "Barrier" and an over all drop in ALL attacks in the high 70th percentile.
That it hinders the lives of a minority of the "WB" residents (Jewish Israelis living in parts of the "WB" are also inconvienced) is just too bad. I would rather have someone whining about a 45 minute wait to get to their olive trees than some inoccent person blown to bits by a Paradise bound meglomaniac spoonfed by HAMAS.
As for the base you mention, why Laptop, you must know that that was my last deployment and I am forbidden by law to discuss it. I can say this, conspiracy theories aside, somethings merely have tactical value and once a Final Accord is within reach you and others will find yourself amazed that not much was "non-negotiable."
The idea now, although it was never thought so by the British, the League of Nations, OR the UN, is to help create a new Arab Nation with contigious borders. To that end, there will not be a bunch of internal area still held onto by Israel with an ensconced presence as one saw in Lebanon until 2000.
IF you look at a map, you will notice the location of Shechem, or Nablus as you choose to call it, and see that it would be an internal area and the chances of that happening are slim to none when the Final Accord is reached.
As per the status of Jerusalem, that too will not happen. It was intended to be an International City under the auspices of the UN and Israel agreed to this. Then the Arabs invaded when Israel became independant and Jordan snatched the Eastern Sector, the Sector with the Holiest Shrine of the Jews. All Jews were barred for the duration of Jordanian control and the Jordanians, just for kicks, erected public lavaratories that utilised HaKotel,the "Wailing/Western Wall" as the 4th side of these bathrooms. They literally urinated on our holiest shrine .
The wall though is actually far longer than tourists are led to believe and extends quite a bit into residential areas and in some of those areas the Jordanians allowed Christains, Arab and otherwise, to use some of those portions of the Wall as a 4th side to literal pig stys. So one one hand they urinated and shat on our holiest site, and on the other they allowed pigs to brush up against it and do the same.
This is an addition to not allowing a single Jew to enter that half of the city. Then of course in the 67 War we defeated the Jordanians again and took control of that half of the city reuniting the city of Jerusalem once more. Now ALL religions are offered freedom to worship and are not subjected to degradation or insult. In fact, Muslims are given way too much control in the municipal waqf to the point where they dictate what can and cannot be done with HaKotel. To even do routine maintenance requires permission of the waqf. Ergo, the best thing in terms of religious significance is to allow Israel to retain ultimate control of the united city.
In terms of politics, it is our traditional capital and to divide the city because of foreign (and foreign is also an adjective used to secribe those Arabs now calling themselves "Palestinian") sensibilities is obscene.
Furthermore, the Jerusalem Envelope, or as it is also known in English, the Metropolitan Consolidation includes some of the afore mentioned areas of the "WB" that are currently being discussed in negotiations. So this issue too will come to a conclusion one way or another.
In terms of the nuclear question, that too is something I could be arrested for discussing but I can say that IF Israel EVER had them they would never deploy them in the "WB." The chance that an Israeli position could be overrun just be sheer numbers makes such deployment way too vulnerable.
