I don't buy the argument that even in a war like Iraq the US would necessarily 'loose' a guerilla war were it legally allowed to behave the way occupying powers have often behaved, and making terror an actual part of the military. I.e., it's the rules of a mediated war, where your enemy know that every dead kid on TV shows the occupier up as violating their own rules of war etc, while the insurgent forces can largely get away with killing soft targets directly, as opposed to having to deal with them as collatoral damage.
The other thing with US military force is that even if Russia were to pick the pace up again, the US still has something like a 20 year R&D lead on pretty much anyone else in terms of technology.
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