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Make 1 political (serious) forcast for 2008

Wallonia secedes from Belgium and becomes part of France.

Low-level rioting flares up in some UK cities due to unemployment, shit wages and housing crisis but sparked by injudicious use of force by police.

Socialist workers party finally crawls away to die with some semblance of dignity.
 
More civil liberties will be stolen from the British people. They will continue to - on the whole - not really care.
 
The current trade deficit and the treasuaries spending deficit will finaly hit home with avengance. The government has borrowed to the hilt during the up years of the financial cycle, but with the finacial sector crisis hammering profits from the city, a huge source of tax recipts will shrivel up. Increasing unemployment (but not a crisis level in 2008) will add a burden to the treasury. Core inflation will start to rise on the back the higher factory gate prices in the UK and the countries that manufacture finally feeding through to the UK high street. The falling pound will contribute to this over the comming months. The result will mean the Bank of England will have to choose between raising interest rates to fight inflation and being responsible for a wave of bankruptcies or continue pumping money into the economy with low interest rates and loose control of inflation.

On the back of this the government will need to start cutting into services. Its borrowing is already very alarming, it will either cut costs or have to borrow so deeply it becomes one the major talking point of the financial year.

Labour will be basicaly screwed, Brown will need something dazling to look innovative and hold onto power so will propose proportional representation for the commons in the queens speach. (probibly anoncing a referendum on it).

"Begger thy neighbour" will become another big political talking point as the dollar conintues to weaken.

The overall global slowdown will cool inflationary pressures in the UK, if the BOE raises interest rates to deal with it.

Edited the last sentance should read: The overall global slowdown will cool inflationary pressures in the UK late in the year, if the BOE raises interest rates to deal with it.
 
Johnny Canuck2 said:
Pakistan will nuke India.
Click to expand...
I predict that fools and people who bet on horses at 200-1 will make predictions about what will happen in Pakistan, but that the situation is so unpredictable they will mostly be wrong, apart from a few due to the monkey/typewriter/shakespeare effect :p
 
Pakistan's elections will pass off with a few hundred violent deaths, and whatever the result, the lot of the average person will remain unaffected, fundamentalists will not get into power and the country will continue to be broadly pro-Western.

Despite what BA says, I confidently predict that Pakistan will NOT 'nuke' India in the coming year.
 
david dissadent said:
The current trade deficit and the treasuaries spending deficit will finaly hit home with avengance. The government has borrowed to the hilt during the up years of the financial cycle, but with the finacial sector crisis hammering profits from the city, a huge source of tax recipts will shrivel up. Increasing unemployment (but not a crisis level in 2008) will add a burden to the treasury. Core inflation will start to rise on the back the higher factory gate prices in the UK and the countries that manufacture finally feeding through to the UK high street. The falling pound will contribute to this over the comming months. The result will mean the Bank of England will have to choose between raising interest rates to fight inflation and being responsible for a wave of bankruptcies or continue pumping money into the economy with low interest rates and loose control of inflation.

On the back of this the government will need to start cutting into services. Its borrowing is already very alarming, it will either cut costs or have to borrow so deeply it becomes one the major talking point of the financial year.

Labour will be basicaly screwed, Brown will need something dazling to look innovative and hold onto power so will propose proportional representation for the commons in the queens speach. (probibly anoncing a referendum on it).

"Begger thy neighbour" will become another big political talking point as the dollar conintues to weaken.

The overall global slowdown will cool inflationary pressures in the UK, if the BOE raises interest rates to deal with it.
Click to expand...

Well yeah, but that's obvious :p
 
poster342002 said:
Further rises in cost of living

Wages remain stagnant - pay rises few and far between and way below inflation.

More job losses in all fields of work.

No rise in industrial struggle to combat the above.

Idiotic and facile optimism from the cod-left will continue unabated.
Click to expand...
:eek: :(
 
Global economic slowdown possibly leading to a recession by the end of the year. Brown lurches from one crisis to another. Unemployment steadily rises in the UK. Housing market crashes. 'stealth Cuts' in public services. 2012 Olympics sucks up ever more money otherwise destined for the voluntary and community sector causing a funding crisis. NHS database is massively overbudget and leak and error prone casuing the gov to 'reasess' its plans for a national ID scheme. Riots amongst asian muslim communtiy due to ever more draconian anti-terror measures.
 
Brainaddict said:
Gordon Brown will be caught in bed with a rentboy. And George Bush. Senior.
Click to expand...
Has anybody else noticed how much scarier Brown has been since he became prime minister and decided he ought to smile all the time? Very disconcerting.
 
littlebabyjesus said:
Has anybody else noticed how much scarier Brown has been since he became prime minister and decided he ought to smile all the time? Very disconcerting.
Click to expand...
It's not a pretty sight is it? When he succeeds. I give you one of his heroic failures:
image


It's almost a smile, but he can't quite make it....
 
There'll be a half arsed attempt to whack Chavez.


gosub said:
China has the first of the food riots.
Click to expand...
There's thousands of riots in China every year already isn't there.
 
gosub said:
China has the first of the food riots.
Click to expand...
Bit late, someone was killed in a riot over cooking oil earlier this year. I'll post a link when I get home. There have been public demonstrations in Mexico and Italy over food prices as well.

China has thousands of demostrations and riots every year. Its people are nowhere near as passive and subservient as is commonly assumed.

Edited, coplicker beat me to it.

Edited again, I believe there has also been a murder in Australia over water as well.
 
KeyboardJockey said:
I've already predicted something good - Some form of scandal involving Galloway.
Click to expand...
That just reminded me I had a dream last night where Galloway was playing saxaphone and looking even more smug and cunty than usual.

:(
 
anyone for a large city in the world suffering a meltdown more serious than New Orleans due to a natural disaster or some sort of water shortage?
 
copliker said:
That just reminded me I had a dream last night where Galloway was playing saxaphone and looking even more smug and cunty than usual.

:(
Click to expand...


Tell me how did the dream end - please tell me that it ended with you shoving the saxaphone up his rectum.
 
:mad: Alright then. There will be growing alarm and riots throughout the world due to a shortage of staple carbohydrates. They will first be noticeable in China where the far higher than normal levels of dissent will prove difficult for the Chinese authorities to cover up.
 
Barking_Mad said:
anyone for a large city in the world suffering a meltdown more serious than New Orleans due to a natural disaster or some sort of water shortage?
Click to expand...
New York would be a dark horse bet on that one. Last years Atlantic basin hurricane season was milder than anticipated due to dust storms from the Sahara cooling there formation area. If the conditions are right then the states might get another couple of cat 5 mothers. (there was some crazy hurricane activity last year anyway). New York is shockingly the third most vaulrable city in America to hurricanes, what happens is that the jet stream gets a hold of them in the south and drives them up the coast a great spead so they dont have time to loose all there energy over the cold water. New York is not really designed for hurricanes as they are rated at 1 every hundred years. So all the water they drop is feared that it will flood out the subway system and some of the bellow sea level bits of the city. Also the shape of the Hudson means that if it hits right the storm surge is funneled into a very narrow waterway by Manhattan island making it crest a hell of a lot higher than it would on the coast.

It may not be this year but it will happen one day.
 
Urbanblues said:
Latin America to move further left.
Click to expand...
I think this process has probably peaked and will begin to go into reverse. Chavez of Venzuela won't recover from losing his referendum.
 
The "new europe" countries will continue to elect ever-nuttier, ultra neocon, freemarketeering regimes. I predict one of these (maybe not this year, but within the next 10) will be the first country in the world to privatise it's army/police force and contract it out to some Amercian security firm or other.
 
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