rachamim18 said:
Aldeberan: Your theory that the Israeli incursion into Lebanon is an American hatched plot makes no sense. Did America arrange the killing of 8 IDF and kidnapping of 2 others in a cross border raid? Contrary to your opinion
I didn't mean the actual abductions, which in my opinion were at the very least delusionally foolish to even ponder about. I mean the dreamed pretext and occasion this gave for the incredible exessive Israeli reactions. It is not "instantly planned", such scenario's are ready to be used any time. That is something hizb'allah should have thought about and that is why the fingerpointing towards syria and iran - and especially iran- sounds so transparantly ridiculous for everyone with a functioning brain.
In my opinion, and also for as far as I am informed, these abductions were the work of a group that opposes the ongoing efforts of the lebanese government to have hizb'allah take part in the political process. Olmert seems to be out on deliberately undermining this. If his agenda is to overthrow the lebanese government he could eventually succeed. If his agenda is to give hizb'allah more popular support in lebanon and far beyond all while portraying Israel and the USA once again as "murdering hypocrites" he already largely succeeded. I'm almost at a point of sending him a telegram with sincere congratulations.
Israel is far from an American proxy. In fact, Israel's incursion is working against American 9interests in that it infalmes some of the coallition forces in in Iraq and Afghanistan.
You can't deny that both are proxies for eachother when and where it is convenient to be so.
As for "against US interests"... It can be somewhat annoying at the surface; they once again manage to set the whole international community against them, but since when did the Bush administration bothered to take that into account?
The situation in Iraq is not a point of concern; with or without these murderous Israeli attacks Iraq is already out of US control and getting out of control every day a bit more. Mentioning Afghanistan in such a context is not even relevant anymore.
In my view the situation would be very different if only the oppostion in the Jewish government had a stronger voice. I also don't think Ariel Sharon would have gone this far if only because of it is discrediting Israel itself within the international community.
Apart from my concerns about having a few fools (not speaking at governmental or military level) doing something that can give the US and/or Israel an occasion to jump on it and launch attacks on iran or syria, my concern is with reactions in the MENA region - and beyond - on a short and even more on the longer term. For those who sympathize with anyone who stands up against israel or the USA, the fact that a hero of the day eventually belongs to an other sect does not play a role. That also doesn't stop at MENA borders. All this can only create more trouble in the very near future.
shalom