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Is Russia right to oppose sanctions?

Groucho said:
No. I just picked a random selection from the net very quickly. Point is there is huge amounts. If I had time I would select the more reliable but I don't.

Nah mate, you don't want to go quoting Larouche. He's a famous nutter who believes, among other things, that the Queen of England controls the international cocaine trade. Everything he says is false.
 
phildwyer said:
Nah mate, you don't want to go quoting Larouche. He's a famous nutter who believes, among other things, that the Queen of England controls the international cocaine trade.
And that's just the more savoury part of his output
Everything he says is false.

Except the stuff about the queen. :p
 
ViolentPanda said:
Not forgetting (just on their own "doorstep") the Dominican republic, Haiti, El Salvador, Honduras and Cuba.

There's a list of US foreign policy adventures that I was sent some time ago. I must dig it out.
 
phildwyer said:
Nah mate, you don't want to go quoting Larouche. He's a famous nutter who believes, among other things, that the Queen of England controls the international cocaine trade. Everything he says is false.

Point taken. Googled and copies quickly as no time to look carefully.
 
rogue yam said:
1948 -- Berlin. After the Soviet Union established a land blockade of the U.S., British, and French sectors of Berlin on June 24, 1948, the United States and its allies airlifted supplies to Berlin until after the blockade was lifted in May 1949.
I don't know about 'liberating', but I think their presence in Berlin (West) was a good example of the US Army having a positive effect.
Never had any problems with them and I sure didn't want them to leave.
 
Russia is different these days. If you’re Iran, your look to your left there’s a American occupied nation and to your right is American occupied nation. so what are you going to think when all their media is trying to make you look like another target. Iran with nuclear weapons is bad for the west but a American empire is bad for the world
 
rogue yam said:
Uh...because they have no oil or gas deposits to speak of and are subject to economic boycott and military attack by all of the energy producing nations of the Middle East.
...and the French needed the money.
 
nn20041119f1a.jpg





Interview with Vladimir Mukhin, a Professor of the Russian Academy of Military Sciences
 
Is Russia right? If this means is Russia likely to behave like a boy scout, then no Russia isn't right. Like the Chinese they'll ruthlessly pursue their national interest. The slippery Brits and the cynical French aren't much different. I think only the yanks suffer from occasional qualms of conscience before vigourously shafting the rest of us as usual.

From a Russian perspective another nuclear power on their border isn't heart warming but Mushies nukes are far more of a risk to them. The Pakistani military are genuinely mad, the Mullahs aren't, they may dream of turning Tel Aviv into a big glass car park but they are rational calculators most interested in their own survival. An Iranian program, especially one that can never deliver a signifigant arsenal within a decade isn't going to worry the Russians much, they won't like any trouble getting in the way of buisness.

You also have to remmber as well Russians aren't a stupidly reckless bunch, a country with a serious Jihadi problem that barely bothers to secure their own rusting nuclear arsenal is going to think the Yanks are old women when they fantisize about Tehran giving a nuke to Jihadis.

The Yanks care about the threat to Israel, they're not much loved elsewhere. A nuclear Iran is a long term threat to the Saudi fields and a US war with Iran is likely to be a global disaster that hurts everyone. Oil Sanctions are not going to be much more popular. The Russians will do what they can to calm the trigger happy Texan but I suspect its simply a stalling campaign.

The Duck considers the Russian and Chinese position:
The second problem, alluded to above, involves the economic disincentives many of the actors face. Russia, of course, has billions tied up in nuclear technology contracts with Iran while the oil-hungry Chinese are concerned about the impact of approving economic sanctions on the possible flow of oil from Iran to their country. Even though Iran is the world's fourth-largest oil exporter it must import up to 40% of needed gasoline given their dilapedated refining capacity. UN sanctions would most likely target areas such as gasoline imports to coerce Iran. However, countries such as China worry that Iran would retaliate by shutting off--or at least limiting--their own oil exports, leading to possible sharp increases in global oil prices (an implicit threat of just such a scenario was alluded to by Iran yesterday). Now, the likelihood that Tehran would limit their national cash cow is questionable, but it is hard not to be concerned. Besides the increase in price, China would be furthered concerned with decrease in supply for supply's sake given its growing need for fuel. Additionally, the sanctions would likely target the capital and technology necessary for Iran to upgrade its energy sector and its economy as a whole. This move would of course threaten companies of European, Chinese, and Russian origin (as well as Japan as it apparently struck a deal to develop Iran's Azadegan oil field).
 
rogue yam said:
Absolutely not.
Absolutely yes:

http://www.state.gov/t/np/trty/16281.htm
Article VI obligates all parties to pursue good-faith negotiations on effective measures relating to ending the nuclear arms race at an early date, to nuclear disarmament, and to achieving a treaty on general and complete disarmament under strict and effective international control.

That means that the US is obliged to eventually 'take it off the table'.
 
TAE said:
Absolutely yes:

That means that the US is obliged to eventually 'take it off the table'.

In this context I was using the phrase "take them off the table" to refer to the U.S. forswearing not to initiate first-use of nuclear weapons. Nothing in the NPT requires signatories to forswear such use, which was my point. Yes, the NPT also includes some happy talk about all of the nations of the world coming together and effecting a complete, verifiable, world-wide nuclear disarmament. That is an entirely separate matter from what we were discussing, and as a practical matter, it seems so far-fetched to me that I would not want to waste any time even considering it.
 
It would seem our governments also would not want to waste any time even considering it.
 
TAE said:
It would seem our governments also would not want to waste any time even considering it.

Given that the number of nations with nuclear weapons capability has been steadily increasing (albeit slowly) it seems to me the greater priority is to prevent new aquisitions.
 
Cause and effect. If there were at least some prospect of the US (and China, Russia, etc) 'taking it off the table', countries like Iran who have seen their neighbours invaded by the US would have less reason to want to own some nukes too.
 
TAE said:
Cause and effect. If there were at least some prospect of the US (and China, Russia, etc) 'taking it off the table', countries like Iran who have seen their neighbours invaded by the US would have less reason to want to own some nukes too.

I don't think either Russia or China (especially China), or even France, would ever agree to give up their last nukes. For that matter, I'm not sure the U.S. would either, since you could never be 100% sure what others had up their sleeves. And Iran wants nukes quite apart from concerns about America's own nuke capability. Given America's size, wealth, and technical prowess, nukes are seen by smaller, less technically-capable countries (I hope I don't get slammed for that assertion!) such as Iran as an equalizer, a way to fend off America's far-superior conventional (non-nuke) forces. This is a fairly reasonable attitude, of course. But some of the statements by certain Iranian leaders go quite beyond talk of preventing an attack by the U.S., into statements about changing the world by force to one more consonant with their radical ideology.
 
I actually agree with much of what you say there.

rogue yam said:
But some of the statements by certain Iranian leaders go quite beyond talk of preventing an attack by the U.S., into statements about changing the world by force to one more consonant with their radical ideology.
Irans rhetoric (by no means new) may be troublesome, but actions speak louder than words, and the US/UK have been changing the world by force to one more consonant with their own ideology.
 
rogue yam said:
I don't think either Russia or China (especially China), or even France, would ever agree to give up their last nukes. For that matter, I'm not sure the U.S. would either, since you could never be 100% sure what others had up their sleeves. And Iran wants nukes quite apart from concerns about America's own nuke capability. Given America's size, wealth, and technical prowess, nukes are seen by smaller, less technically-capable countries (I hope I don't get slammed for that assertion!) such as Iran as an equalizer, a way to fend off America's far-superior conventional (non-nuke) forces. This is a fairly reasonable attitude, of course. But some of the statements by certain Iranian leaders go quite beyond talk of preventing an attack by the U.S., into statements about changing the world by force to one more consonant with their radical ideology.

Glad you're back and starting to get some protection from the flaming.

Your last statement, the one about Iranian leaders making threatening noises, similar claims could be made about the US. Recently, one of your religious leaders called for the assignation of another countries leader. Also, that blonde, Anne Coultier (sp?), has also made some fairly racist remarks.

A quite glance at selective media outlets could lead one to believe that the US is hell bent on converting the world to Christainity.

I'm willing to accept that there are fanatics on both sides. Are you?
 
TAE said:
Irans rhetoric (by no means new) may be troublesome, but actions speak louder than words, and the US/UK have been changing the world by force to one more consonant with their own ideology.

True enough. And here is where we enter the ever-treacherous ground of "universalism" (to coin? a term) vs. "multiculturalism". The U.S. position is that democracy, individual rights, the rule of law, and pluralism are universal ideals. All want them (kind of, sort of). Some Islamists say bosh, it's Sharia as we see it for all and anyone who stands in the way is against Allah and thus liable to be put to death. The argument can be made that in both cases an ideology is being imposed. And if one truly believes that there are no moral absolutes, then the argument then goes to who is messing with who more. I say we (the U.S.) still come out on top here, since I see Al Qaeda as the agressor against us, and I see most if not all of their complaints against us as bogus. There is little doubt about where most people of the world would choose to live if the two choices were the U.S. under Pres. Bush, or Afghanistan under the Taliban. But that doesn't really prove anything either, I suppose.
 
spring-peeper said:
I'm willing to accept that there are fanatics on both sides. Are you?

Of course. But let's be clearer on our terms, please. Our "religious leaders". particularly those that might call for assassinations (are we talking Pat Robertson here?) are private individuals who hold no power except that of persuasion. Whatever they call for, our nation acts through its secular institutions according to our Constitution. In certain other cases (Mullah Omar, Ayatollah Kohmeni, etc.) their religious leaders directly command armed forces who carry out their edicts at the point of a gun without regard for any secular authority or popular will. This is quite a different matter.
 
On the other hand, s-p, if we're talking about Ann Coulter, and she is truly (as you say) calling for an assignation, then I'll go to the head of the line, thankyouverymuch.
 
I am firmly in the "universalism" camp, as are most fundamentalists, and believe that representative democracy is the least-worst option, but being in the right does not mean having the right to impose one's view on others. It also does not render everyone else's view worthless.
 
rogue yam said:
On the other hand, s-p, if we're talking about Ann Coulter, and she is truly (as you say) calling for an assignation, then I'll go to the head of the line, thankyouverymuch.

"Assignation"? What do you mean "assignation"? :confused:
 
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