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Niall Ferguson's deep-cover sock-puppet
Huh?TomUS said:I agree that the media make it sound like Hamas were the perpetrators of a coup. That could be because there is some truth in it. They took over Gaza through violence, not an election.
Let's take this one step by tiny step:
Firstly, Hamas have long been the dominant force in Gaza, whilst the PLO has always been dominant in the West Bank. The deliberate Israeli promotion of the home-grown Islamic opposition in the powder keg that is Gaza had a strong socio-economic influence on this.
To summarise this very simplistically: Palestine was previously very well known for being an intensely secular society, as you might guess from the fact that the PLO has no religiously-based party at all, but it does have strong socialists/communist (and therefore avowedly atheist) representation; this is a key reason the refugees have been so appallingly treated by neighbouring states - they are/were considered a political threat to the status quo. There was no sudden mass conversion in Palestine; the reasons are far more prosaic. Hamas had Israeli-channelled funds to provide the essential social services and food distribution systems which are utterly critical to survival in Gaza; the PLO groups had funds diverted away from them.
The Hamas "coup" in Gaza prior to the last election was a response to the deep corruption within some elements of the PLO and the Palestinian Authority. The leaders who had been in exile never really managed to reconnect with the people and had few qualms about enjoying the priveleges; after all they'd been living in relative comfort in exile for nearly 40 years and could never truly comprehend the reality for the vast majority of Palestinians. This betrayal was particularly cruel as it allowed the outside world to view Palestine as "normal" and nothing more to worry about post-Oslo.
Many Palestinians concluded that Israel could not be tackled before Arafat was dealt with; others argued that the two could be done together, but the latter position became increasingly untenable with the mass reinvasion of the West Bank in the immediate aftermath of 9/11, under cover of the media storm.
When the Palestinian street talks, the politicos of every stripe better listen - these people were born and bred on non-violent direct action and civil disobedience; they have developed resources and determination almost beyond comprehension when viewed from the comfort of the West. I'm not a fan of the men of violence - they dominate the struggle to the detriment of the people, IMO - but it is inevitable that the clean hands of Hamas would step in - would have to step in - to resolve this national scandal once and for all.
To that end, they decided to run in the recent elections, and they won by a very clear margin - a surprise, but frankly not that much of a surprise. Few Israeli elections have seen anything like as big a % of the vote for the winning party as Hamas were able to garner; or indeed Arafat for that matter.
/extra-simplistic remedial class for media-addled neocons


