Football betting and odds, discussion and other gambling stuff

Discussion in 'general sports' started by ffsear, Oct 26, 2015.

  1. ffsear

    ffsear Well-Known Member

    I attempt this every month, Sometimes it works, sometimes you get caught out. So thought it might be fun to do it live in a thread.

    The rules are.. Start with £20, You make 1 bet per day at very short odds, Almost dead certs. Every bet you are going all in. Bets should be placed at odds of 1.05 to 1.10 (anything below 1.05 is not really worth the risk).

    Bets can be made before the event, but often you can get a good prices in play. e.g backing the winning football team after 85' mins

    If I make it 30 wins in a row, I can turn my £20 form anything into £150 to £200. (pays for a month food shop :D )

    Below shows how the money will accumulate assuming I get odds of 1.07 (on betfair).

    1 1.07 £21.40
    2 1.07 £22.90
    3 1.07 £24.50
    4 1.07 £26.22
    5 1.07 £28.05
    6 1.07 £30.01
    7 1.07 £32.12
    8 1.07 £34.36
    9 1.07 £36.77
    10 1.07 £39.34
    11 1.07 £42.10
    12 1.07 £45.04
    13 1.07 £48.20
    14 1.07 £51.57
    15 1.07 £55.18
    16 1.07 £59.04
    17 1.07 £63.18
    18 1.07 £67.60
    19 1.07 £72.33
    20 1.07 £77.39
    21 1.07 £82.81
    22 1.07 £88.61
    23 1.07 £94.81
    24 1.07 £101.45
    25 1.07 £108.55
    26 1.07 £116.15
    27 1.07 £124.28
    28 1.07 £132.98
    29 1.07 £142.29
    30 1.07 £152.25

    (*does not factor in Betfair's 5% commission)

    The Golden rule is 1 BET PER day. Lets see how it goes!.
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2015
  2. ffsear

    ffsear Well-Known Member

    1st Bet..

    Pakistan to win 2nd test. £20 @ 1.07 - Returns £21.40
  3. fractionMan

    fractionMan Custom Title

    good luck!
    ffsear likes this.
  4. butchersapron

    butchersapron blood on the walls

    Come on England!

    Just do matched betting and save yourself some time.
    Dowie likes this.
  5. ffsear

    ffsear Well-Known Member

    Tea. 31 overs left with 2 wickets. Am I gonna fall at the first hurdle here?? :facepalm:
  6. ffsear

    ffsear Well-Known Member

    Phew, that was close!
    marty21 likes this.
  7. isvicthere?

    isvicthere? a.k.a. floppybollocks

    You're under way! :cool:

    Eta: lend me a tenner on 24th November.
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2015
    Pickman's model likes this.
  8. ffsear

    ffsear Well-Known Member

    Bet 2

    Stoke v Chelsea (C1 cup) - Over 0.5 goals - £21.33 @ 1.05 - returns £22.40
  9. ignatious

    ignatious Well-Known Member

  10. ffsear

    ffsear Well-Known Member

    2 teams with defensive problems, but quality up front. Should be a goal at least. Thinking Jose will put out a strong side too.
  11. Mr Retro

    Mr Retro Beware hedgehogs

    Unless you are betting in play it's actually hard to find odds quite so short. There is a Twitter account that tries to make £1000 starting with £20 too but it takes more risks. I've never followed the bets but it clicks quite a bit. I'll try find it and post it here for lulz.
  12. Mr Retro

    Mr Retro Beware hedgehogs

    It's @TennerToAGrand in case anybody is interested.

    Me and 2 mates have a rotating £20 bet every week and pool the profits for a banjo at the end of the football /NH Racing season. You bet how you like on what you like. The only rule is you don't count the initial £20 stake you have to put in every 3 weeks. Good fun and twice we've have a serious amount of money in the pot
  13. ffsear

    ffsear Well-Known Member

    Bet 3

    Man U v Middlesbrough - Man U to Qualify. £22.40 @ 1.2

    Remember Middlesbrough's last cup exit.. 14-13 penalty shoot-out loss to Liverpool.
    Last edited: Oct 28, 2015
    Mr Retro likes this.
  14. isvicthere?

    isvicthere? a.k.a. floppybollocks

    Well done so far. Will be monitoring this one tonight.

    Also, a question: can you have a day off tomorrow, since a win here more than doubless your 1.07 target? Or does it give you breathing room for very low odds on subsequent days?
  15. ffsear

    ffsear Well-Known Member

    I'll keep to the 1 bet a day strategy, unless i can't find anything I fancy. But picking up the odd 1.2 or 1.25 means you'll hit your target quicker. But don't be tempted by the price. E.g backing Arsenal to win last night.!
  16. isvicthere?

    isvicthere? a.k.a. floppybollocks

    I know. I never bet on "bigger" teams in the League Cup any more, since - especially in the earlier stages - they often put out below full strength sides. It doesn't look as if van Gaal is doing this, however, although he is starting with Brazilian teenager Pereira.
  17. Fez909

    Fez909 toilet expert

    Middlesbrough always do well in cups, and we beat Man City last year before that Liverpool game. I think Manu will be too much for us, but we're even stronger this season.

    I'd have chosen something more nailed on if I was you. ;) Hoping your little betting experiment comes to an end tonight :thumbs:
  18. ffsear

    ffsear Well-Known Member

    But I can't bet against my beloved Crystal Palace!

    Actually I was going to, but City are without Aguero, David Silva and Fernandinho. And the price was only 1.14

    I did have a good think about this one, but Boro have been eliminated in five of their last six League Cup meetings against Premier League opposition and Utd have never lost a 4th round tie at home. Kind of sealed it for me. (famous last words! )
    Last edited: Oct 28, 2015
  19. Mr Retro

    Mr Retro Beware hedgehogs

    I had a little fiver on Palace because of all of City's injuries and it's a massive 7/1. Also had a bet on the United Liverpool double.
  20. ffsear

    ffsear Well-Known Member

    Wasn't it Bamford that scored your winner? He's staring for us tonight! :D
    Fez909 likes this.
  21. Fez909

    Fez909 toilet expert

    2-0, Bamford then Kike :)

    He's wasted at CP. He's have played every week for us :(
  22. Fez909

    Fez909 toilet expert

    holy shit, what a match this is. Told you ffsear ;)
  23. Fez909

    Fez909 toilet expert

  24. Fez909

    Fez909 toilet expert

  25. ffsear

    ffsear Well-Known Member

    Balls, Fair play to Boro. When i heard they had 10,000 plus fans at old trafford, i had a bad feeling about this one. SHould have waited for the starting lineups really before betting.

    Will start again tomorrow, with a fresh £20.
    Fez909 likes this.
  26. ffsear

    ffsear Well-Known Member

    Fez909 likes this.
  27. twentythreedom

    twentythreedom Patterdale Terrorist

    Gutted for you tbf but look on the bright side - man u got beat :thumbs:
    ffsear and Fez909 like this.
  28. mwgdrwg

    mwgdrwg Be a Pisces. Jam.

    A mug's game.
    Jon-of-arc likes this.
  29. Maurice Picarda

    Maurice Picarda Actually, might as well flounce.

    If he'd quit while he was ahead, which is the first rule, he'd be sitting on £1.40 and could have bought himself 140 penny shrimps. And now he has nothing.
    AndyDHFC likes this.
  30. DotCommunist

    DotCommunist slowtime

    one of the more esoteric betting targets is the murder trials in foreign countries. Its fucked up, but late stage capitalism ennit. I imagine you can only make money if you know the language and have some understanding of the legal system you are betting on a trial within.

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