Miss-Shelf
I'll meet you further on up the road
Crispy said:It sure as hell wouldn't come this far south of the river...
back when fields were green etc it seemed to go more places than just the scopa zone!
Crispy said:It sure as hell wouldn't come this far south of the river...
Miss-Shelf said:does critical mass ever move itself in a non directional sort of a way to sites where cyclists have been recently killed?
kyser_soze said:OK, on that mirrors thing...they reckon 1200 lives across the EU, between 08 and 20.
OK, times that £100 x 2 for each lorry and then find somewhere which gives the total number of lorries across all 27 member states. Factor in the costs associated with creating, implementing and enforcing the legislation.
Then take that number, divide by the number of lives to be saved, and you'll find out the actuarial cost per life. I don't know what basic number the EU applies per life, but the higher it is the less likely safety legislation will be enacted. Same thing went for the signalling on the railways - if it's more than £500K per life saved it won't be done...varies from industry to industry, but thems the basic maths.
*rereads* Ah, 2.4 billion/1200...equals €2mn per life...that's why retrofitting isn't going to be forced...
Also, it doesn't make it clear which countries are opposing this, so 'Why are the government opposing the mirrors mentioned in the link copied from the comments, I wonder? ' is a bad question...
co-op said:I wonder if we also applied this to the cost of murder inquiries whether many of them would pass the kyser-soze test?
How do you price the cost in social capital in abandoning our streets and public places to lorries and cars?
OpalFruit said:Why are the government opposing the mirrors mentioned in the link copied from the comments, I wonder?
Interesting that such a high ratio of people killed by lorries last year were women.
Sadly - depending on which year it refers to - I knew one of them. Cycling in the evening, well illuminated, an experienced cyclist who had been on cycle training workshops - trying to save money and travel home safely at night, killed by a lorry.
And now this poor woman.
Another family devastated..
kyser_soze said:2nd line is hyperbolic rubbish.
kyser_soze said:Moron,
.
kyser_soze said:I was pointing out how cost/risk/benefit analysis on this kind of thing is worked out. You take the implemetation cost and divide by the number of lives saved. If that number is </>X you either do it or not.
This kinf of testing is nothing to do with me at all, it's how actuaries in government departments work these things out.
kyser_soze said:2nd line is hyperbolic rubbish.
laptop said:So since you're so keen on costing: How do you price the cost in social capital in abandoning our streets and public places to lorries and cars?
co-op said:I seem to remember despatchers doing this spontaneously in London a few times way back whenever - in the 80s?
OpalFruit said:Interesting that such a high ratio of people killed by lorries last year were women.
kyser_soze said:OK, times that £100 x 2 for each lorry
Buffalo Bill said:Yeah, that happened in 1989 (Chris Shaw), 1992 (Edward Newstead) and more recently CM visited the site of the death of Seb Lukomski. We also went and painted the road at the sites of messenger deaths in 2002 and 2003.
http://www.londonmessengers.org/lbma-marks-the-street
co-op said:Thanks for the info. Bill.
kyser_soze said:Also, it doesn't make it clear which countries are opposing this, so 'Why are the government opposing the mirrors mentioned in the link copied from the comments, I wonder? ' is a bad question...
Is your figure of £500k per life an example or real? £500k per death of a working parent of several young children (for e.g) seems quite low...especially when you take into account the doubtless astronomical costs of policing and investigating a death, lawyers fees on both sides as the possible prosecution and/or insurance claim is worked out, maybe 40 years of earning power, 17 years of childcare / support, not to mention the aditional hospital costs of the not-dead-but-injured-and-possibly-disabled victims of lorries' blind spots.
kyser_soze said:You seem to be misapprehending what this means - none of that stuff is relevant. When you look at things like safety costs you get an actuary to say 'A persons life is worth X in compensation' (for example - it will vary depending on what you're doing the assessment for) Much of this cost data comes from insurance companies cos a major part of their business is assesing risk against cost.
Your exploration into ongoing social costs etc is irrelevant when it comes to making a decision like this, at least from the POV of a government that has to cost out, implement and enforce something like this.
One of the big issues is the amounts that often calculated, especially between transport modes - trains are the highest, with a human life worth about a million quid, which is one of the reasons travelling by train is so expensive as well, the insurance costs are higher.
The best ever exposition of this is in Fight Club when Ed Norton explains how car industry product recalls work...basically the same theory.