Australian Politics and Elections

[DownwardDog]

You can always tell when Bill is feeling the heat as he retreats to his comfort zone of industrial relations to remind the unions of the largesse that will be his to dispense in their direction if they stay the distance with The Shorten Project. Hence last week's dribbling about 'Industry Awards'.

If he doesn't make progress in this year's half senate election he'll get knifed by Albo/Plibersek who will (temporarily) bury their undying hatred of each other to make common cause of Kill Bill.

 

[redsquirrel]

SA now predicted to go to Liberals (probably a majority but there's still some doubt about that). Batman probably remaining ALP.

 

[redsquirrel]

So the LNP no longer has confidence in Turnball, he's going to be replaced by either Peter Dutton or Scott Morrison. I can't see either of them saving the LNP at the next election.

(BTW could a passing mod change the title of this thread to "Australian Politics"?)

 

[Balbi]

Hahahhahaha Peter Dutton. It's actually hilarious.

 

[redsquirrel]

Turnbull also hinting that he could resign as an MP which would give the incoming PM a bit of a headache considering that the LNP have just a one seat majority.

 

[DownwardDog]

Turnbull also hinting that he could resign as an MP which would give the incoming PM a bit of a headache considering that the LNP have just a one seat majority.

Turnbull's seat is rock solid Liberal. They will just parachute in somebody with name recognition (Peta Credlin?) and hold it easily. Labor have never held it...

 

[redsquirrel]

You could have an Liberal-lite independent standing like Indi

 

[Balbi]

There's also the issue of the National's refusing Dutton confidence and supply and bringing down the Government.

Dutton is so unpopular that it's not funny. He's 13 points down against Labor's Bill Shorten in his home state lol.

 

[Balbi]

In related news, Dutton may not actually be eligible to even be an MP and he's trying to become PM. Section 44 strikes again.

Aussie politics is a fucking ball.

 

[ice-is-forming]

This is impacting heavily on my community, even though we are thousands of ks from Canberra. I'm in the Hinkler region and we've been fighting for two years against the expansion of a local trial of the cashless debit card. The Senate hearings, debates and voting was supposed to happen (again) this week, but now the voting been delayed to September because of what's happened in parliament. It also means a whole lot of new politicians voting on something that they know very little about as they haven't been involved previously. So lots of very anxious people waiting to hear.

 

[Dom Traynor]

So Australia has a new PM and it’s not Dutton. Scott Morrison a slightly more likeable awful Christian gay, migrant, and Kiwi bashing Tory than Dutton.

 

[redsquirrel]

It'll be interesting to see whether the conservatives are willing to back Morrison. At one time he was there darling but lots never forgave him when he switched from Abbott to Turnbull.

 

[Dom Traynor]

Yes well it sounds like Dutton still wants to get in so we could see another spill yet

 

[Balbi]

Can they hold off a few days, I'm having wisdom teeth extracted next week and am going to be stoned out of my mind on painkillers for a few days. I reckon in that state I can be Prime Minister in September

 

[redsquirrel]

Ha ha, LNP going to lose Wentworth and their majority. Thought this was possible.

 

[redsquirrel]

Things continuing to go to shit for the LNP. All the polling puts Labour ahead, what was thought that it might be a reasonably tight contest in the Vic state elections was a wipeout for the Liberals and now in the last week three ministers had announced that they won't be contesting the next election. The last thing the LNP needs is for me seats to come into play with a lose of a incumbency factor.

(BTW could a passing mod change the title of this thread to "Australian Politics"?)

 

[redsquirrel]

Thanks editor, Lazy Llama, FridgeMagnet for changing the thread title.

 

[redsquirrel]

And now Bishop standing down at the next election.

 

[DownwardDog]

And now Bishop standing down at the next election.

She is my MP and seemed alarmingly normal when I met her at my daughter's school. God knows who we'll get next as this is one of the safest Liberal seats in the country (it goes 71-29 to the Libs on 2PP) so it's a juicy plum for ambitious pollie who won't have to devote much time to their affluent and unfailingly Liberal voting constituents.

 

[redsquirrel]

And a couple more - Christopher "fixer" Pyne and Steve Ciobo rumoured not to be standing again. Ciobo's seat is safe but Pyne's seat (currently a 5.4% margin) with no sitting member, while not a easy target for the ALP, must now be in play.

 

[ice-is-forming]

Yes!

 

[JTG]

Yes! View attachment 236854

Did One Nation hold their seat?

 

[ice-is-forming]

Did One Nation hold their seat?

Yes, they kept the seat up by Mackay.. that's all they did

One Nation will hold just one seat in Queensland's Parliament, something Federal Labor's Shadow Treasurer Jim Chalmers describes as "heartening"

A 'satisfying' One Nation collapse and Palmer's 'humiliation' pleases Jim Chalmers

Federal Labor's Shadow Treasurer Jim Chalmers says a failure by Queensland's minor parties to gain a foothold in Parliament gives Labor a mandate to "stitch together a big constituency for change".

www.google.com

 

[redsquirrel]

ALP win very big in WA

On the current count, the McGowan government is on track to hold 88% of all lower house seats in WA – 52 of the 59 member legislative assembly – leaving the National party with a predicted four seats and the Liberal party with three, or on some counts two. Labor is also on track to win a majority in the upper house for the first time in the state’s history, potentially winning 22 of the 36 seats.

Bloody amazing result considering WA typically leans Liberal - 59% of the vote in 1st round, ALP ~70% of two-party preferred vote.

I've been out of Oz too long to get the feel of what this will mean (if anything) for federal politics.

 

[DownwardDog]

ALP win very big in WA

Bloody amazing result considering WA typically leans Liberal - 59% of the vote in 1st round, ALP ~70% of two-party preferred vote.

I've been out of Oz too long to get the feel of what this will mean (if anything) for federal politics.

Labor look like they will even win around our way - Dalkeith in the Nedlands district - dethroning Bill "Old Money" Marmion which is nothing short of an electoral miracle.

It probably doesn't mean that much for Federal politics as that election effort will be funded and organised by the Liberal party Death Star in NSW. The Christian Porter business probably puts Pearce into play if Labor have a strong candidate.

 

[redsquirrel]

It probably doesn't mean that much for Federal politics as that election effort will be funded and organised by the Liberal party Death Star in NSW. The Christian Porter business probably puts Pearce into play if Labor have a strong candidate.

That was what I suspected, but was not too sure about. After all the ALP victory in Vic 2018 did not really reflect the results in the federal election a few months alter.

 

[hitmouse]

Does anyone understand what the deal is with Scott Morrison secretly appointing himself to five ministries? Sounds bonkers.

Morrison defies logic when it comes to explaining his 'secret' positions

At a time when democracy is under strain and threat around the world, and trust in institutions is fragile, the decision by former prime minister Scott Morrison to secretly appoint himself to five ministries including Treasury is both unfathomable and alarming, writes Patricia Karvelas.

www.abc.net.au

 

[Dom Traynor]

Simply bizarre level of control freakery?