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Afghanistan, what now?

So now Brown is the first Prime Minister since Churchill to spend a night in a war zone, and he has announced millions or redirected money for better focus on IEDs. It seems this is focussed on more detectors. Will it make a difference?
 
So were going to pay for these new helicopters by closing/mothballing existing bases in the UK.

The first of the helicopters arrive in 2012 ... the last in 2018. So were planning to be around in Afghanistan until at least 2018 then...
 
So were going to pay for these new helicopters by closing/mothballing existing bases in the UK.
It's fair to say though, that even post-Portillo, the MoD still has a lot of under-used "real estate", especially with amalgamations of regts and ongoing consolidation of the air force.
In other words, I think that they've got room to play with, if they play wisely.
The first of the helicopters arrive in 2012 ... the last in 2018. So were planning to be around in Afghanistan until at least 2018 then...
I suspect that even if we fully intend to be out of Afghanistan before then, the chief of staff is looking at having better long-term air-mobile capacity that can be deployed anywhere in the Middle East, so it would make sense to still be having new fleet rolled out in 2018.
 
Cast your minds back to the last major “real-estate” sale….. the MOD housing portfolio, and lets hope that they’ll be as
successful this time around.

For those with short memories….(briefly)….
in 1996 Nomura's PFG (Principal Finance Group) bought 57,000 married servicemen's quarters from the UK Ministry of Defense
for Stg1.7bn. Most of the properties were then leased back to the MoD at below-market rents.

The MoD in turn guaranteed a minimum rental stream, agreed to an UPWARDS-ONLY rent review schedule, and undertook to
release an annual quota of properties back to Nomura which could then sell them, or rent them on the open market

By 1997 the estate was valued at Stg3.2bn. and by 2002, after continued property price rises, the estate had an indexed
valuation of Stg4.44bn.

By Aug 2004 the estate was valued at Stg6.35bn despite the sale of properties in the interim. Meanwhile the entire estate
had also undergone rent reviews, and Annington (the Nomura securitization vehicle) had achieved average rental increases
of 49% since 1997



You couldn't make it up could you ?
 
22 new Chinook helicopters from £900m redirected money from cutbacks in other projects.

Helicopters to arrive in Afghanistan in 2012.

RAF loses Harrier squadron.

Helicopters only arriving in 2012 seems a bit late, surely it does not take that long to build a helicopter? And anyhow are we not supposed to be starting to leave in 2012?
 
More than 1,100 troops have launched a major operation in Afghanistan's eastern Uzbin Valley.

The force includes 800 French legionnaires, together with US and Afghan soldiers.

Ten French soldiers were killed in the area in August 2008 when they were ambushed by Taliban fighters.

A further 21 French troops were wounded, in one of the heaviest tolls suffered by the Nato-led International Security Assistance Force (Isaf).

The operation is aimed at "reaffirming the sovereignty of Afghan security forces in the north of the Uzbin Valley", Col Benoit Durieux of the French Foreign Legion told the AFP news agency...

...A French military spokesman said Thursday's operation was a "demonstration of force... meant to assure the local population of our presence".

The aim was to plant an Afghan flag in a strategic village in the Uzbin valley.
It's like the entire thing is being planned by 13-year-old boys.
 
Indeed. I love the fact that the 'sovereignty of Afghan security forces' is to be secured by, um, French soldiers.

And 'International Security Assistance Force' is a marvellous euphemism for 'occupying foreign armies'.

Can any of the fools who spout this crap actually believe it themselves?
 
Number crunching: Afghan GDP (2008) $21Bn Vs. US war effort in Afghanistan cost (2009) $171Bn

So every 6 weeks or so the US spends the equvilent of the entire Afghan GDP.

Madness
 
Just to post this again

"What Do Afghans Want?"

The best piece I've read on the issue recently.

http://www.j-n-v.org/AW_briefings/JNV_briefing120_What_Do_Afghans_Want.htm
It's interesting but there are a few problems as far as a complete withdrawal is concerned (not to mention to contradictory opinion poll results they quote)

If the US etc pulled out, I would imagine the Taliban would try to regain control, and stand a very good chance of succeeding. What do Afghans want asks the article, well 96% don't want the Taliban back and if we twist the figures regarding opinion on the length of time Afghans want foreign forces to stay even more than the authors of the article have twisted the figures, then 49% of Afghans presumably want a continuation of the "occupation" (not to mention that 63% of Afghans support the presence of US troops there).

But this war was never about what the Afghans want. It was always about the security of our own countries (despite what the conspiracy theorists think about oil motives). Allowing the Taliban back into power, even sharing power, unless they can somehow give reassurances they will no longer give shelter or support to international Islamist terrorists then that would be unacceptable and should not be allowed to happen.

It seems that what the US/UK governments and Afghanis are in perfect agreement that the Taliban must not be allowed to regain any kind of power in Afghanistan...
 
Apparently in the current push in Helmland the troops are coming across lots of IEDs which they are having to deal with.

An army rocket attack which did not hit its target has killed 12 civilians.
 
Ah yes - the latest 'big push' against the viet cong, taliban whatever.

What utter bollocks. They'll 'capture' huge swathes of empty space and isolated towns and villages. The 'taliban' will melt away until the operation is decalred 'a huge success' (oh and sorry about the dead civilians) then the NATO forces will pull out, the taliban will stroll back and they'll be back to square one.
 
But that is why there are extra troops.

So they can stay in territory they take this time!

Time will tell.
 
Time will tell.

Its already telling. How long has NATO been there now?
Every 6 months we have a big military operation to 'clear out the taliban' - but unless your gonner swamp the coutnry indeinfintely with 100 of thousands of troops (which the USSR did for 10 years before giving up) it will never work.
 
No, sure. I think they will have to do a deal with the Taliban. I can't see any other resolution.

Indeed. It jsut pisses me off that these big military offences are depicted as like WW2 style operations - set peice battles agaisnt an ememy army defending fixed positions - when they're fighting a gurrilla war where they can huff and puff and capture as much empty space as they wish but it achives nothing (other than pissing off the locals).Its meaningless beyond giving NATO the oppourtunity to look to like its doing somehting other than running around in circles getting perodocally wasted by IEDs.
 
It's already a PR disaster. 12 civvies killed on the first day by a 'stray NATO rocket'. (Or as everyone else calls it...the Americans)

Why are we there? To prop up that arsehole Karzai?

Of course, 2 weeks ago all the talk was abut giving them money! This week we're back at war. Embarrassing. Dare I say futile?
 
There has been talk of paying Afghan Army people more than the Taliban pay for their soldiers.

That seems like a good idea.
 
Its already telling. How long has NATO been there now?
Every 6 months we have a big military operation to 'clear out the taliban' - but unless your gonner swamp the coutnry indeinfintely with 100 of thousands of troops (which the USSR did for 10 years before giving up) it will never work.

It might be worthwhile to consider the way the Soviet Union went about it and the losses they suffered and inflicted on the country

(I know it's Wiki but the figures look ok)

The total irrecoverable personnel losses of the Soviet Armed Forces, frontier, and internal security troops came to 14,453. Soviet Army formations, units, and HQ elements lost 13,833, KGB sub-units lost 572, MVD formations lost 28, and other ministries and departments lost 20 men.

Material losses were as follows:[citation needed]

451 aircraft (includes 333 helicopters)
147 tanks
1,314 IFV/APCs
433 artillery guns and mortars
1,138 radio sets and command vehicles
510 engineering vehicles
11,369 trucks and petrol tankers

Over 1 million Afghans were killed.[75] 5 million Afghans fled to Pakistan and Iran, 1/3 of the prewar population of the country. Another 2 million Afghans were displaced within the country. In the 1980s, half of all refugees in the world were Afghan.[76]

Along with fatalities were 1.2 million Afghans disabled (mujahideen, government soldiers and noncombatants) and 3 million maimed or wounded (primarily noncombatants).[77]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet_war_in_Afghanistan#Soviet_personnel_strengths_and_casualties

It was a totally different war and a totally different situation not comparable with what is going on now.
 
It might be worthwhile to consider the way the Soviet Union went about it and the losses they suffered and inflicted on the country

So you say... "It might be worthwhile to consider the way the Soviet Union went about it "

But then you say:

It was a totally different war and a totally different situation not comparable with what is going on now.

So are there lessons to be learnt or not?
 
So you say... "It might be worthwhile to consider the way the Soviet Union went about it "

But then you say:



So are there lessons to be learnt or not?

Of course there were and are lessons to be learnt and a lot were, one of the reasons why the losses both military and civilian are much less. My main point is that there is no direct comparison between the 2 conflicts apart from the geography.
 
The 12 civilians killed were killed by US Rockets. This has cast a shadow and harmed the operations efforts to win the support of local people.
 
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